Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Guidonia Montecelio		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.15	2.92
	2.33	3.15	3.03
	2.32	3.1	2.99	Watch
	2.25	2.88	2.9
	2.3	2.97	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.4)	3.05 ↓ (3.45)	2.97 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
39.6%

Draw
29.8%

Carpi
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.7%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Guidonia Montecelio - Carpi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stellato G. (G) 27. Viteritti O. 3. Frascatore P. 13. Mule E. 77. Zappella D. 80. Franchini S. 14. Santoro S. 99. Tessiore A. 23. Starita E. 9. Tounkara M. 10. Spavone A.	22. Scacchetti A. (G) 44. Benvenuto M. 4. Zagnoni D. 17. Lombardi L. 2. Verza N. 10. Stanzani L. 5. Figoli M. 8. Rosetti M. 11. Casarini F. 77. Gaddini M. 23. Sall A.
Substitutes
22. Avella M. (G) 31. Bafaro A. 5. Cristini A. 8. Errico A. 60. Galletti D. 21. Mastrantonio V. 18. Miccoli D. 25. Peciarolo 24. Russo L. 4. Toma R. 66. Vitturini D. 32. Zuppel D.	. Amayah P. 7. Cecotti T. 9. Gerbi E. 30. Giani E. 27. Giva N. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 28. Puletto F. 19. Rossini M. 1. Sorzi M. (G) 98. Sula R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Figoli M. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Spavone A. ⚽,
34', Lombardi L. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Zagnoni D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Benvenuto M. ↓, Cecotti T. ↑,
48', 1 - 3, Gaddini M. ⚽,
54', Gaddini M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
61', 2 - 3, Spavone A. ⚽,
62', Starita E. ↓, Russo L. ↑,
62', Franchini S. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
66', Sall A. ↓, Gerbi E. ↑,
66', Figoli M. ↓, Puletto F. ↑,
74', Spavone A. ↓, Errico A. ↑,
82', Viteritti O. ↓, Toma R. ↑,
82', Tounkara M. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
83', Verza N. ↓, Giva N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.26	Ascoli - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Juventus U23 - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Ternana	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Campobasso - Guidonia Montecelio	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTT
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.26	Carpi - Forlì	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Carpi - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Carpi - Pineto	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Livorno - Carpi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.25	Carpi - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1

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