Match Info
Serie C - Group B - Round 33Date: 21 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
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Guidonia Montecelio |
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Vis Pesaro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.4 |
2.87 |
2.75 |
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2.58 |
2.82 |
2.88 |
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2.64 |
2.81 |
3.04 |
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2.55 |
2.82 |
2.94 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
2.63 |
2.8 |
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2.52 |
2.72 |
2.88 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.34) |
2.78 ↓
(3.28) |
2.88 ↑
(2.82) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guidonia Montecelio
35.8% | Draw
32.7% | Vis Pesaro
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Predictions
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Stellato G. (G)
27. Viteritti O.
2. Esempio S.
13. Mule E.
3. Frascatore P.
80. Franchini S.
14. Santoro S.
99. Tessiore A.
8. Errico A.
23. Starita E.
24. Russo L.
| 1. Pozzi A. (G)
5. Tonucci D.
6. Di Renzo G.
63. Barranco G.
77.  Durmush M.
10. Di Paola M. (C)
55. Mariani E.
99. Ventre A.
20. Giovannini R.
28.  Machin J.
9. Nicastro F.
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| Substitutes |
22. Avella M. (G)
31. Bafaro A.
5. Cristini A.
50. D'Isanto A. (G)
11. Marchioro R.
18. Miccoli D.
7. Sannipoli D.
10. Spavone A.
4.  Toma R.
9.  Tounkara M.
77. Zappella D.
| 27. Bastianelli R.
34. Cataudella D.
80.  Chudy W.
25. Fraternale A.
22. Fratti D. (G)
16. Guarnone A. (G)
97. Lari N.
2. Piras M.
18. Pisano M. G.
3. Zoia R.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mariani E. ↓, Lari N. ↑,
- 46', Di Renzo G. ↓, Zoia R. ↑,
- 46', Ventre A. ↓, Piras M. ↑,
- 46', Errico A. ↓, Spavone A. ↑,
- 56', Di Paola M. 🟨,
- 69', Russo L. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
- 70', Giovannini R. ↓, Fraternale A. ↑,
- 79', Pozzi A. 🟨,
- 79', Starita E. ↓, Tounkara M. ↑,
- 83', Esempio S. 🟨,
- 88', Nicastro F. ↓, Pisano M. G. ↑,
- 88', Frascatore P. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
- 90+1', Piras M. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).Guidonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Vis Pesaro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 33:32 | 1 | 43 |
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| 12 | Guidonia | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 38 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.63%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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