Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 28

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pianese		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.92	3.25
	2.16	2.9	3.72
	2.19	2.83	3.62	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.4
	2.11	2.83	3.64	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.47)	2.85 ↓ (2.96)	3.51 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
41.8%

Draw
32.1%

Guidonia Montecelio
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guidonia Montecelio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Pianese - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pianese (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 6. Amey W. 4. Colombo M. 13. Ercolani L. 19. Sussi C. 27. Bertini M. 30. Proietto F. 8. Simeoni L. 33. Coccia L. 11. Bellini L. 21. Tirelli M.	22. Avella M. (G) 5. Cristini A. (C) 2. Esempio S. 13. Mule E. 77. Zappella D. 33. Tascone S. 14. Santoro S. 7. Sannipoli D. 8. Errico A. 32. Zuppel D. 23. Starita E.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 29. Fabrizi L. 10. Ianesi S. 77. Martey C. 12. Nespola M. (G) 70. Nicastro M. 9. Ongaro E. 24. Reali A. (G) 14. Sodero A.	31. Bafaro A. 80. Franchini S. 3. Frascatore P. 11. Marchioro R. 24. Russo L. 10. Spavone A. 1. Stellato G. (G) 99. Tessiore A. 27. Viteritti O. 66. Vitturini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bellini L. 🟨,
27', Zuppel D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Tirelli M. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
75', Coccia L. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
75', Colombo M. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
76', Starita E. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
76', Errico A. ↓, Vitturini D. ↑,
83', Esempio S. 🟨,
89', Proietto F. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
90', Zappella D. ↓, Viteritti O. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).

In recent matches, Pianese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guidonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guidonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guidonia has had a series of home games.

Pianese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12
15	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.26	Livorno - Pianese	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Pianese - Perugia	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Arezzo - Pianese	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Pianese - Vis Pesaro	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Sambenedettese - Pianese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLW
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Forlì	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Bra	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ravenna - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0

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