The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pianese 41.8%
Draw 32.1%
Guidonia Montecelio 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.2%
31.1%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
30.7%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guidonia Montecelio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guidonia Montecelio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 6. Amey W. 4. Colombo M. 13. Ercolani L. 19. Sussi C. 27. Bertini M. 30. Proietto F. 8. Simeoni L. 33. Coccia L. 11. Bellini L. 21. Tirelli M.
22. Avella M. (G) 5. Cristini A. (C) 2. Esempio S. 13. Mule E. 77. Zappella D. 33. Tascone S. 14. Santoro S. 7. Sannipoli D. 8. Errico A. 32. Zuppel D. 23. Starita E.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 29. Fabrizi L. 10. Ianesi S. 77. Martey C. 12. Nespola M. (G) 70. Nicastro M. 9. Ongaro E. 24. Reali A. (G) 14. Sodero A.
31. Bafaro A. 80. Franchini S. 3. Frascatore P. 11. Marchioro R. 24. Russo L. 10. Spavone A. 1. Stellato G. (G) 99. Tessiore A. 27. Viteritti O. 66. Vitturini D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bellini L. 🟨,
27', Zuppel D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Tirelli M. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
75', Coccia L. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
75', Colombo M. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
76', Starita E. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
76', Errico A. ↓, Vitturini D. ↑,
83', Esempio S. 🟨,
89', Proietto F. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
90', Zappella D. ↓, Viteritti O. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).
In recent matches, Pianese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Guidonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Guidonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Guidonia has had a series of home games.
Pianese could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pianese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.