Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Juventus U23		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.25	3.6
	2.1	3.15	3.3	Watch
	2.31	3.2	3.57
	2.11	3.2	3.33	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.21	3.18	3.18	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
43.6%

Draw
28.9%

Vis Pesaro
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 23. Scaglia F. 3. Gil J. 15. Savio F. 26. Pagnucco F. 5. Macca F. 16. Faticanti G. 10. Anghele L. 32. Licina A. 17. Guerra S. 9. Deme S.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 13. Primasso A. 5. Tonucci D. 3. Zoia R. 17. Paganini L. 10. Di Paola M. 28. Machin J. 21. Vezzoni F. 20. Giovannini R. 9. Nicastro F. 14. Jallow S.
Substitutes
11. Amaradio L. 18. Brugarello M. 39. Cerri L. 29. Fuscaldo M. (G) 21. Gunduz T. 37. Leone 30. Mazur P. 19. Oboavwoduo J. 8. Owusu A. 1. Scaglia S. (G) 24. van Aarle S.	24. Berengo N. 32. D'Astolfo L. 6. Di Renzo G. 77. Durmush M. 19. Ferrari T. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 25. Fraternale A. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 55. Mariani E. 2. Piras M. 18. Pisano M. G. 29. Salati U. 99. Ventre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Pagnucco F. ⚽,
27', Paganini L. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 0, Faticanti G. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Nicastro F. ⚽,
63', Jallow S. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
65', Guerra S. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Nicastro F. ⚽,
73', Guerra S. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
73', Deme S. ↓, van Aarle S. ↑,
81', Vezzoni F. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
81', Primasso A. ↓, Ferrari T. ↑,
82', Anghele L. ↓, Gunduz T. ↑,
88', Gunduz T. ↓, Owusu A. ↑,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

Juventus U23 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vis Pesaro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventus U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Juventus U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Juventus U23	8	1	3	4	8:15	-7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Juventus U23 - Bra	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Pianese - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Juventus U23 - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Juventus U23 - Ternana	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Perugia - Juventus U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWWT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Vis Pesaro - Sambenedettese	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Ravenna - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro	1:3
03.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	1:0
28.04.24	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	2:1
23.12.23	Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro	1:1

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