Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 31

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Guidonia Montecelio		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.98	3.05
	2.59	2.88	3.12
	2.47	2.82	3.05	Watch
	2.45	2.63	2.9
	2.45	2.76	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)	2.81 ↓ (2.97)	3.03 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
37.2%

Draw
32.5%

Sambenedettese
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avella M. (G) 2. Esempio S. 13. Mule E. 3. Frascatore P. 27. Viteritti O. 99. Tessiore A. 7. Sannipoli D. 14. Santoro S. 8. Errico A. 10. Spavone A. 23. Starita E.	22. Cultraro G. (G) 4. Zini A. 98. Lepri T. 17. Pezzola L. 80. Piccoli M. 18. Candellori K. 37. Toure M. 7. Marranzino P. 27. Stoppa M. 11. Parigini V. 9. Eusepi U. (C)
Substitutes
80. Franchini S. 24. Russo L. 1. Stellato G. (G) 33. Tascone S. 4. Toma R. 9. Tounkara M. 66. Vitturini D. 77. Zappella D. 32. Zuppel D.	24. Alfieri V. 8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 30. Gigante G. 47. Konate A. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 97. Maspero A. 1. Orsini T. (G) 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 99. Semprini M. 14. Tosi F. 15. Zoboletti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Pezzola L. ↓, Alfieri V. ↑,
45+1', Spavone A. 🟨,
45+5', Errico A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Eusepi U. ⚽,
56', Starita E. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
56', Spavone A. ↓, Tounkara M. ↑,
56', Viteritti O. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
60', Sannipoli D. ↓, Tascone S. ↑,
71', Tounkara M. 🟨,
78', Tounkara M. 🟨,
79', Errico A. ↓, Vitturini D. ↑,
80', Cultraro G. 🟨,
90', Stoppa M. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
90', Marranzino P. ↓, Maspero A. ↑,
90+7', Tessiore A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Guidonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sambenedettese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guidonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guidonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Guidonia Montecelio - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
04.03.26	Sassari Torres - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Pianese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Forlì	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Bra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTTT
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.03.26	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sambenedettese - Livorno	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ravenna - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sambenedettese - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Juventus U23 - Sambenedettese	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1

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