Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.87	2.37
	3.1	2.87	2.35
	3.4	2.65	2.38
	3.15	2.8	2.36
	3.52	2.81	2.47
	3.3	2.62	2.4
	3.3	2.76	2.34
	3.2	2.85	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.07)	2.78 ↑ (2.58)	2.38 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
27.9%

Draw
33.3%

Belgrano
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

35.8%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

36.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Guillermo Brown - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Belgrano will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 23 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional).

Guillermo Brown is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belgrano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Belgrano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.10.22	Deportivo Riestra - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	All Boys - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLL
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.10.22	Belgrano - Chacarita Juniors	3:0 ✺
25.09.22	Brown de Adrogué - Belgrano	2:3 ✺
19.09.22	Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
12.09.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.12.20	Guillermo Brown - Belgrano	0:1
10.11.19	Guillermo Brown - Belgrano	2:1

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