Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.38
	3.2	3	2.25
	3.25	3	2.3
	3.48	2.95	2.4
	3.48	2.9	2.4
	3.3	3	2.2
	3.35	2.99	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.52)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)	2.31 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
27.9%

Draw
31.4%

Chacarita Juniors
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guillermo Brown's form might have worsened.

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chacarita Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guillermo Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chacarita Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Guillermo Brown - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Torres F. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Riquelme R. D. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Machado C. 5. Marin F. 7. Pinto M. 10. Luayza M. 9. Moreno M. 11. Fernandez M.	1. Losas F. (G) 4. Fernandez T. 2. Oneto T. 6. Alvarez S. 3. Chavez N. 8. Melendez M. 5. Watson N. 7. Rodriguez Matias 10. Pombo C. 11. Brandan F. 9. Cocimano S.
Substitutes
13. Carrera S. 16. Chiavetto A. 15. Funes F. 19. Galeano M. 20. Jara A. 18. Sarco F. 17. Silva A. 12. Soria M. (G) 14. Werro V.	12. Arzamendia M. (G) 18. Belloso M. 17. Beltramone E. 13. Brunet N. 15. Domke 14. Laurelli F. 16. Passaglia J. 19. Pisano M. 20. Salinas R.
Coaches
Sialle A.	Biggeri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Brandan F. ⚽,
35', Fernandez M. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
42', 0 - 2, Cocimano S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pinto M. ↓, Sarco F. ↑,
65', Machado C. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
65', Marin F. ↓, Funes F. ↑,
74', Brandan F. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
74', Cocimano S. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
76', Funes F. 🟥,
81', 0 - 3, Pisano M. ⚽,
83', Moreno M. ↓, Chiavetto A. ↑,
83', Pombo C. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
84', Watson N. ↓, Beltramone E. ↑,
84', Rodriguez Matias ↓, Domke ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chacarita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chacarita will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Guillermo Brown - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Quilmes - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Guillermo Brown - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLTW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.24	Chacarita Juniors - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Chacarita Juniors	3:1 ✺
25.03.24	Chacarita Juniors - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Chacarita Juniors - Defensores de Belgrano	1:4 ✺
09.03.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.22	Guillermo Brown - Chacarita Juniors	0:0
23.03.19	Chacarita Juniors - Guillermo Brown	3:1
Copa Argentina
05.07.17	Guillermo Brown - Chacarita Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.17	Guillermo Brown - Chacarita Juniors	3:0
18.10.16	Chacarita Juniors - Guillermo Brown	0:2
21.02.16	Guillermo Brown - Chacarita Juniors	3:0
30.08.15	Guillermo Brown - Chacarita Juniors	1:0

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