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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 38%
Draw 34%
San Martín de Tucumán 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
34.3%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
29.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (C) 2. Diaz G. 3. Genez N. 4. Rueda W. 6. Meritello F. 5. Bravo F. 8. Miro A. 10. Cortes B. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Rivero H. 9. Reynaga R.
1. Manganelli N. (G) 2. Ferreyra N. 3. Ayala R. 4. Salazar V. 6. Parnisari E. 5. Brinone S. 7. Veliez A. 8. Graneros A. 11. Cisnero A. 9. Diellos D. 10. Cabrera B.
Substitutes
20. Attis T. 15. Barinaga J. P. 18. Bravo B. 19. Diaz D. 14. Evangelista F. 16. Heredia F. 13. Moreyra F. 17. Pacco L. 12. Rivasseau F. (G)
20. Arfaras L. 18. Castro N. 17. Juarez J. 15. Monroy G. 14. Paz A. 16. Rios M. 13. Rodriguez G. 19. Rodriguez G. 12. Sand D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Salazar V. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Cabrera B. ⚽, Diellos D. (A),
39', Rueda W. 🟨,
41', Brinone S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cisnero A. ↓, Arfaras L. ↑,
61', Veliez A. 🟨,
62', Veliez A. ↓, Monroy G. ↑,
63', Rivero H. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
63', Reynaga R. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
66', Monroy G. 🟨,
74', Cabrera B. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
75', Cortes B. ↓, Barinaga J. P. ↑,
75', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
78', Diellos D. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
78', Salazar V. ↓, Juarez J. ↑,
82', Graneros A. 🟨,
83', Meritello F. 🟨,
85', Miro A. 🟨,
87', Genez N. ↓, Pacco L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1.
Patronato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
San Martin T's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Patronato could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Patronato Parana - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Sosa A. (C) 
Cortes B. 
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