Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)


	San Miguel		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.63
	2.75	2.95	2.55
	2.8	3	2.55	Watch
	2.92	3	2.77
	2.92	2.94	2.77
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.78	2.97	2.57	Watch
	2.8	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (1.34)	3 ↓ (5)	2.62 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
33%

Draw
31.2%

San Martín de San Juan
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

19.4%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Miguel's form might have worsened.

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de San Juan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+39.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Martín de San Juan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	23.1%	76.9%

San Miguel - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Martín: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pucheta J. (G) 4. Pereyra A. 2. D. Renteria 6. Cardozo F. 3. Escobar I. 8. Sena F. 5. Cravero T. 10. Lujan N. 11. Sosa D. 7. Batallini M. 9. Melivilo F.	1. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Heredia A. 6. Sienra A. 3. Alvarez L. 8. Lopez S. 5. Pelaitay N. 10. Escalante L. T. 11. Gutierrez M. 7. Casa M. 9. Gonzalez F.
Coaches
Coleoni G.	Martinez J. M.

Preview

Recent matches San Miguel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Martín is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	Arsenal Sarandí - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
26.02.24	San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
16.02.24	Chacarita Juniors - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	San Miguel - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTTT
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.24	San Martín de San Juan - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	San Martín de San Juan - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

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