The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Miguel 43.9%
Draw 33.4%
San Martín de Tucumán 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
33.2%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
33.1%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 2. Parnisari E. 3. Corda S. 6. Cardozo F. 7. Juarez J. 4. Kippes A. 5. Cravero T. 8. Sena F. 9. Lavezzi A. 10. Dening E. 11. Salto C.
1. Sand D. (G) 2. Penalba T. 3. Rodriguez G. 6. Abregu G. 8. Soraire J. 10. Cuevas J. 11. Castro N. 4. Cainelli N. 5. Garcia M. 7. Garcia F. 9. Rodriguez G.
Substitutes
16. Antunes I. 14. D. Renteria 15. Ferrero J. 13. Grance I. 18. Jerez T. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 17. Mosca C. 20. Nasta B. 19. Sosa D.
14. Bordon A. 12. Carrizo N. (G) 19. Gonzalez M. E. 16. Hachen G. 15. Monje L. 18. Paz A. 20. Spetale A. 17. Vera U. 13. Zuliani H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Castro N. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Lavezzi A. ⚽, Salto C. (A),
34', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
35', Kippes A. 🟨,
35', Cuevas J. 🟨,
37', Garcia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Cuevas J. ⚽, Cainelli N. (A),
54', 2 - 1, Lavezzi A. ⚽, Dening E. (A),
56', Dening E. 🟨,
61', Lavezzi A. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez G. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
65', Abregu G. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Spetale A. ⚽,
72', Soraire J. ↓, Vera U. ↑,
72', Castro N. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
72', Cuevas J. ↓, Hachen G. ↑,
72', Corda S. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
73', Parnisari E. ↓, D. Renteria ↑,
83', Salto C. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
83', Sena F. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
87', Garcia F. ↓, Monje L. ↑,
90+3', Paz A. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Martin T's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
San Miguel might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Argentina
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D. Renteria 
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