The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guingamp 62.1%
Draw 23.8%
Châteauroux 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
23%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.2%
19.1%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Guingamp - Châteauroux Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Châteauroux is Relegated to
Guingamp has the most likely position - 12 (18.65%), has project points - 44, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of promoted.
Châteauroux has the most likely position - 20 (100%), has project points - 24, has currently - 22, was already of relegated.
Guingamp is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Châteauroux has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Guingamp is indisputable favorite.
In this match Guingamp is certain favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.