Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.58	3.7	4.8
	1.57	3.8	4.9
	1.65	3.9	4.93
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.61	3.84	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	4.9 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
57.2%

Draw
24.2%

Guiseley
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-2%)

Gloucester City - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 2.

Recent matches Gloucester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guiseley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gloucester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gloucester is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
02.04.22	AFC Telford United - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:0 ✺
22.03.22	Gloucester City - Chester	3:3 ✺
19.03.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Gloucester City - Gateshead	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTWL
- Guiseley
English National League North
05.04.22	Farsley - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Chorley - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Guiseley - Chester	0:2 ✺
22.03.22	Guiseley - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Leamington - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.08.21	Guiseley - Gloucester City	2:1
21.11.20	Guiseley - Gloucester City	1:2
18.01.20	Guiseley - Gloucester City	2:1
28.09.19	Gloucester City - Guiseley	3:1
15.11.14	Gloucester City - Guiseley	1:3
30.08.14	Guiseley - Gloucester City	1:4
26.04.14	Guiseley - Gloucester City	3:1

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