Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Gateshead		Chester

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	5.75
	1.38	4.3	6.4
	1.4	4.5	6.2
	1.41	4.67	7.02
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.41	4.6	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)	4.46 ↑ (4.3)	6.39 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
65.2%

Draw
20.5%

Chester
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.9%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.5%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Gateshead - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 4.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Chester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gateshead is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League North
02.04.22	Brackley Town - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Gateshead - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
22.03.22	Gateshead - Curzon Ashton	4:0 ✺
19.03.22	Boston United - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Gloucester City - Gateshead	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWW
- Chester City
English National League North
26.03.22	Guiseley - Chester	0:2 ✺
22.03.22	Gloucester City - Chester	3:3 ✺
19.03.22	Chester - Kettering Town	4:0 ✺
12.03.22	Blyth Spartans - Chester	1:3 ✺
05.03.22	Chester - Chorley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.08.21	Chester - Gateshead	1:1
28.11.20	Chester - Gateshead	1:2
28.01.20	Gateshead - Chester	2:0
English National League
20.01.18	Chester - Gateshead	1:3
12.09.17	Gateshead - Chester	3:2
11.02.17	Chester - Gateshead	1:2
06.08.16	Gateshead - Chester	3:0

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