Match Info

Yi League - Round 13

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Guiyang Olympic Sports Center (Guiyang)


	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	3.25	3.1	2.08	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.63
	3.42	3.3	2.03	Watch
	3.63	2.98	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.8)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.26 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
29.4%

Draw
30%

Guangxi Hengchen
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

30%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

29.2%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guizhou Guiyang Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ci Henglong (G) 41. Yu Yi 27. Zhang Wentao 4. Geng Xianglong (C) 24. Cai Zhuohao 22. Kong Yinquan 17. Zheng Shengxiong 8. Sun Enming 21. Zhou Z. 11. Shi Yiyi 18. Chen Xiangyu	22. Shen Bokai (C) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 18. Wei Chaolun 8. Wang H. 7. Gao Yixuan 42. Ji Tianle 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo
Substitutes
7. Chen Chenzhenyang 29. Guo Tong (G) 59. Hou Yingcheng 5. Lai Yanglong 19. Liang Huan 25. Li Wei 47. Murathan Ares 49. Sun Xinkai 32. Wang Xiao 60. Wu Zhongcan 9. Xian-Yang Jiazhu 26. Xie Jinzheng	19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 24. Deng H. 4. Fang Zhengyang 33. Feng Yifan 58. Huang Y. 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 28. Wang Haozhi 29. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Liu Y.	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Chen Xiangyu ⚽, Kong Yinquan (A),
33', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhou Z. ↓, Chen Chenzhenyang ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Zhang Huajun ⚽,
61', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ren K. ↑,
61', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Ning W. ↑,
72', Wang H. ↓, Wang Haozhi ↑,
72', Zhang Huajun ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
82', Ning W. 🟨,
85', Chen Xiangyu ↓, Wang Xiao ↑,
85', Shi Yiyi ↓, Liang Huan ↑,
86', Ji Tianle ↓, Huang Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Guizhou Zhucheng has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guizhou Zhucheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guizhou Zhucheng won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
31.05.25	Kunming City - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
16.05.25	Shenzhen - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Quanzhou Yassin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLWW
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
01.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City	7:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
16.05.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Wenzhou Professional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
30.03.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:2

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