Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Philippines	Matchday+, Premier Football
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 4
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Gwangju		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.46	Watch
	2.91	3.16	2.57
	2.83	3.2	2.51	Watch
	2.9	3	2.45
	2.9	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.16)	3.04 ↓ (3.45)	2.5 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
32.3%

Draw
30.5%

Buriram United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buriram United's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

Gwangju - Buriram United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Buriram will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Kyung-Min (G) 27. Kim Jin-Ho (C) 6. Ahn Young-Kyu 2. Cho Sung-Gwon 45. Kwon Sung-Yun 77. Oh Hoo-Sung 55. Park Tae-Jun 19. Hwang J. 42. Kang H. S. 40. Shin Chang-Moo 7. Asani J.	13. Etheridge N. (G) 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 16. Dougall K. (C) 6. Good C. 11. Cools D. 92. Kim Min-Hyeok 23. Causic G. 10. Lucas Crispim 24. Mueanta S. 45. Boakye M. 7. Bissoli
Substitutes
28. Ahn Hyeok-Ju 47. Kim Han-Gil 24. Lee K. 3. Lee Min-Ki 88. Moon Min-seo 9. Park In-Hyeok 13. Park Jeong-In 90. Reis 31. Roh Hee-Dong (G)	34. Bootprom C. (G) 20. Djalo M. 2. Haiprakon S. 3. Hemviboon P. 9. Jaided S. 8. Maikami R. 95. Ratree S. 18. Stephen Berg A. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 40. Tabinas J. 15. Weerawatnodom N.
Coaches
Lee Jung-Hyo	Loss O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Bissoli ⚽, Mueanta S. (A),
24', Hwang J. ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
35', 0 - 2, Boakye M. ⚽, Bissoli (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kwon Sung-Yun ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
46', Kang H. S. ↓, Reis ↑,
52', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
64', Boakye M. 🟨,
67', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Park Jeong-In ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Oh Hoo-Sung ⚽, Park In-Hyeok (A),
69', Boakye M. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Oh Hoo-Sung ⚽,
75', Mueanta S. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
77', Jaided S. 🟨,
86', Oh Hoo-Sung ↓, Lee K. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Gwangju is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Buriram is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gwangju could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
15.02.25	Gwangju - Suwon	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.02.25	Shandong Taishan - Gwangju	3:1 ✺
03.12.24	Shanghai Port - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
27.11.24	Gwangju - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
24.11.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTWT
- Buriram United
AFC Champions League
12.02.25	Buriram United - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
06.02.25	Buriram United - Kuala Lumpur City	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
02.02.25	Buriram United - Thai Port	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Prachuap - Buriram United	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

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