Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 6

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sport 1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Shanghai Port		Gwangju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.8
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.7	4.13
	1.83	3.71	4.02	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.6
	1.88	3.82	3.87	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)	3.68 ↓ (4.02)	3.85 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shanghai Port
50%

Draw
25.5%

Gwangju
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

23.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.9%	6.1%	6.1%

Shanghai Port - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: Shanghai Port will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yan Junling (G) 4. Wang Shenchao 13. Wei Zhen 11. Lu Wenjun 32. Li Shuai 22. Matheus Jussa 19. Wang Zhenao 16. Xu Xin 8. Oscar (C) 10. Vargas M. 9. Gustavo	1. Kim Kyung-Min (G) 2. Cho Sung-Gwon 23. Kim Kyeong-Jae 15. Byeon Jun-Soo 27. Kim Jin-Ho 30. Choi Kyoung-Rok 14. Jeong Ho-Yeon 55. Park Tae-Jun 40. Shin Chang-Moo 18. Heo Yool 10. Lee Heui-Kyun (C)
Substitutes
31. Bao Shimeng 6. Cai Huikang 12. Chen Wei (G) 37. Chen X. 38. Deming Li 25. Du Jia (G) 23. Fu Huan 45. Liu Xiaolong 33. Liu Zhurun 20. Yang Shiyuan	28. Ahn Hyeok-Ju 6. Ahn Young-Kyu 16. Jeong J. 17. Jeong Ji-Yong 47. Kim Han-Gil 8. Lee Eu-Ddeum 20. Lee G. 24. Lee K. 22. Lee Sang-Gi 88. Moon Min-seo 77. Oh Hoo-Sung 31. Roh Hee-Dong (G)
Coaches
Muscat K.	Lee Jung-Hyo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Vargas M. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Heo Yool ⚽,
45+2', Gustavo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Wei Zhen 🟥,
58', Lu Wenjun ↓, Yang Shiyuan ↑,
62', Gustavo ↓, Liu Zhurun ↑,
62', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑,
62', Kim Kyeong-Jae ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
71', Xu Xin 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Oscar (Pen),
81', Xu Xin ↓, Liu Xiaolong ↑,
81', Wang Zhenao ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
85', Lee Heui-Kyun ↓, Lee K. ↑,
85', Heo Yool ↓, Lee G. ↑,
87', Yang Shiyuan 🟨,
90+2', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Kim Han-Gil ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Shanghai Port is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gwangju is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Shanghai Port have a series of guest games.

In this match Shanghai Port is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shanghai Port to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Port FC
AFC Champions League
26.11.24	Ulsan HD - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.11.24	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
02.11.24	Shanghai Port - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	5:0 ✺
27.10.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW
- Gwangju FC
AFC Champions League
27.11.24	Gwangju - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
24.11.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Jeju - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
02.11.24	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLT

Upcoming Matches