Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K League 1 - Round 1

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV


	Gwangju		Suwon

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3	Watch
				Watch
	2.38	2.95	2.85
	2.52	3.11	3.18
	2.42	3.1	3.04	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.88
	2.47	3.14	3.04	Watch
	2.38	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.14)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	2.98 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
38.2%

Draw
30.4%

Suwon
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Gwangju - Suwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Kyung-Min (G) 23. Kim Jin-Ho 6. Ahn Young-Kyu 39. Min Sang-Gi 3. Lee Min-Ki (C) 22. Kim Han-Gil 8. Lee K. 88. Moon Min-seo 13. Park Jeong-In 17. Reis 18. Park In-Hyeok	23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 2. Lee Yong (C) 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 4. Kim Tae-Han 21. Seo Jae-Min 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 7. Lee Jae-Won 24. Kim J. 47. Choi San 70. Anderson Oliveira 10. Ji Dong-Won
Substitutes
7. Asani J. 2. Cho Sung-Gwon 19. Hwang J. 21. Kang H. S. 27. Kwon Sung-Yun 77. Oh Hoo-Sung 55. Park Tae-Jun 12. Roh Hee-Dong (G) 40. Shin Chang-Moo	99. Abanda L. 1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 34. Jang Yun-Ho 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 20. Lee Ji-Sol 11. Lee Joon-Suk 77. Ofkir M. 9. Sabbag P. 14. Yoon Bit-Garam
Coaches
Lee Jung-Hyo	Kim Eun-joong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Choi S. ↓, Yoon Bit-Garam ↑,
58', Park Jeong-In ↓, Asani J. ↑,
58', Kim Han-Gil ↓, Park Tae-Jun ↑,
59', Lee K. ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑,
67', Kim J. ↓, Sabbag P. ↑,
67', Ji Dong-Won ↓, Ofkir M. ↑,
71', Moon Min-seo ↓, Kang H. S. ↑,
79', Park In-Hyeok ↓, Hwang J. ↑,
82', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Abanda L. ↑,
90+2', Roh Kyung-Ho 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 3.

Suwon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gwangju will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32:11 (average 1.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Gwangju won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:5 (average 1.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
AFC Champions League
11.02.25	Shandong Taishan - Gwangju	3:1 ✺
03.12.24	Shanghai Port - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
27.11.24	Gwangju - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
24.11.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Jeju - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWTT
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
23.11.24	Ulsan HD - Suwon	4:2 ✺
09.11.24	Suwon - Gangwon	4:0 ✺
02.11.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Suwon - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
27.07.24	Gwangju - Suwon	1:0
25.06.24	Suwon - Gwangju	1:0
27.04.24	Gwangju - Suwon	1:2
22.07.23	Suwon - Gwangju	0:1
28.05.23	Suwon - Gwangju	0:2
01.04.23	Gwangju - Suwon	2:0
24.10.21	Suwon - Gwangju	1:3

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