Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Jinan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	SportKlub 3
Philippines	Matchday+
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Shandong Taishan		Gwangju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.11	3.61	3.45
	2.08	3.52	3.32	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	2.07	3.65	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (3.01)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	3.31 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Taishan
45%

Draw
26.9%

Gwangju
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shandong Taishan's performance.

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwangju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	7.4%	18.5%

Shandong Taishan - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Gwangju will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Wang Dalei (G) 33. Gao Zhunyi 27. Shi Ke 15. Lucas Gazal 11. Liu Yang 35. Huang Zhengyu 25. Peng Xinli 9. Cryzan (C) 23. Xie Wenneng 10. Qazaishvili V. 19. Zeca	1. Kim Kyung-Min (G) 2. Cho Sung-Gwon 15. Byeon Jun-Soo 27. Kim Jin-Ho 3. Lee Min-Ki (C) 7. Asani J. 55. Park Tae-Jun 81. Yu Je-Ho 90. Reis 40. Shin Chang-Moo 13. Park Jeong-In
Substitutes
30. Abudulam Abdursul 24. Bi Jinhao 29. Chen Pu 7. Guilherme Madruga 36. Liu Guobao 18. Lu Yongtao 28. Mijit Mewlan 6. Wang Tong 17. Wu Xinghan 1. Yu Jinyong (G) 13. Zhang Chi 31. Zhao Jianfei	6. Ahn Young-Kyu 19. Hwang J. 42. Kang H. S. 47. Kim Han-Gil 45. Kwon Sung-Yun 88. Moon Min-seo 77. Oh Hoo-Sung 9. Park In-Hyeok 31. Roh Hee-Dong (G)
Coaches
Choi Kang-Hee	Lee Jung-Hyo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
10', Peng Xinli 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Qazaishvili V. ⚽, Zeca (A),
33', 2 - 0, Zeca ⚽, Cryzan (A),
34', Byeon Jun-Soo ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
36', 2 - 1, Lee Min-Ki ⚽, Reis (A),
38', Gao Zhunyi 🟨,
43', Zeca 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 1, Cryzan ⚽, Liu Yang (A),
45+6', Huang Zhengyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shi Ke ↓, Wu Xinghan ↑,
46', Peng Xinli ↓, Lu Yongtao ↑,
46', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
54', Lee Min-Ki 🟨,
56', Cho Sung-Gwon 🟨,
57', Wu Xinghan 🟨,
61', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Kang H. S. ↑,
61', Park Jeong-In ↓, Hwang J. ↑,
62', Xie Wenneng ↓, Chen Pu ↑,
62', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
67', Lu Yongtao 🟨,
74', Kim Jin-Ho ↓, Kwon Sung-Yun ↑,
82', Zeca ↓, Mijit Mewlan ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Taishan
AFC Champions League
04.12.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Shandong Taishan	4:0 ✺
26.11.24	Shandong Taishan - Johor Darul Takzim	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.11.24	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Shandong Taishan	4:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
02.11.24	Shandong Taishan - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLLW
- Gwangju FC
AFC Champions League
03.12.24	Shanghai Port - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
27.11.24	Gwangju - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
24.11.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Jeju - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTTL

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