Match Info

K League 1 - Round 1

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports


	Jeju		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.42	2.88	3
	2.57	3	3.16
	2.55	2.88	3.08	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.52	2.89	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.28)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
38.1%

Draw
31.3%

Gwangju
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Jeju - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeju (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 28. Kim Geon-Ung 3. Celestine J. 40. Kim Ryun-sung 22. Kwon Chang-Hoon 8. Lee Chang-Min 5. Italo 94. Emerson Negueba 11. Shin Sang-Eun 10. Nam Tae-Hee	1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 9. Ha Seung-Un 24. Yong-Wook K. 39. Min Sang-Gi 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 40. Shin Chang-Moo 14. Yu Je-Ho 88. Moon Min-seo 16. Joung Ji-hun 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 13. Park Jeong-In
Substitutes
21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 20. Jang M. 41. Kim Jae-Woo 27. Kim Jun-ha 18. Kim Shin-Jin 14. Oh Jae-Hyeok 7. Park Chang-Jun 47. Park Min-jae	19. Ahn Hyeok-Ju 6. Ahn Young-Kyu 11. Fridjonsson H. 26. Gong B. 8. Ju Se-Jong 42. Kang Hui-Su 27. Kim Jin-Ho 25. Kim Yun-ho 21. Roh Hee-Dong (G)
Coaches
Costa S.	Lee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Italo 🟥,
43', Ha Seung-Un 🟨,
44', Shin Chang-Moo 🟨,
45+4', Yu In-Soo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yong-Wook K. ↓, Kim Jin-Ho ↑,
46', Joung Ji-hun ↓, Kim Jin-Ho ↑,
46', Nam Tae-Hee ↓, Jang M. ↑,
52', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
62', Kwon Chang-Hoon ↓, Kim Jun-ha ↑,
62', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
63', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
63', Kwon Sung-Yun ↓, Ahn Hyeok-Ju ↑,
74', Park Chang-Jun 🟨,
81', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
90+1', Emerson Negueba ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
90+3', Ahn Hyeok-Ju 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 0.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
07.12.25	Jeju - Suwon Bluewings	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeju	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Jeju - Daegu	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Jeju - Anyang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWTL
- Gwangju FC
South Korean Cup
05.12.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Suwon - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Daegu - Gwangju	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Gwangju - Jeju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.11.25	Gwangju - Jeju	2:0
30.08.25	Jeju - Gwangju	0:1
18.06.25	Jeju - Gwangju	0:1
06.04.25	Gwangju - Jeju	1:0
10.11.24	Jeju - Gwangju	0:0
22.09.24	Gwangju - Jeju	0:2
30.06.24	Gwangju - Jeju	2:1

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