Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova (La Paz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Génesis PN		Real España

	1	X	2
	3	3.15	2.18
	3.05	3.2	2.27
	3.07	3.33	2.26	Watch
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.06	3.1	2.22	Watch
	3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.82)	3.11 ↓ (3.68)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Génesis PN
30.1%

Draw
29.3%

Real España
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.2%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Génesis PN's performance.

Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real España might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Génesis PN - Real España Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez D. (G) 25. Felix B. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 33. Melendez D. 7. Miranda J. 27. Paz J. 30. Riascos J. 3. Santos L. 13. Tejeda A. 2. Vargas A.	22. Lopez L. (G) 10. Benavidez J. 4. Capeluto J. 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 36. Osorto R. . Palacios E. 30. Sayago D. 18. Vuelto D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Felix B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 1 - 1, Sayago D. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Vuelto D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.

Real España has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real España is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Platense - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Real España - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTTLL
- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.01.26	Real España - Olancho	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	Real España - Motagua	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Motagua - Real España	0:3 ✺
10.12.25	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
26.11.25	Real España - Génesis PN	1:0
15.09.25	Génesis PN - Real España	1:1
06.03.25	Génesis PN - Real España	2:0
18.01.25	Real España - Génesis PN	1:1
07.12.24	Real España - Génesis PN	2:0
04.12.24	Génesis PN - Real España	1:1
26.10.24	Génesis PN - Real España	1:1

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