Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Excelsior (Puerto Cortes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Platense		Génesis PN

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.65	4.15
	1.64	3.7	4.43
	1.67	4	4.52	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.66	3.94	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	3.78 ↓ (3.8)	4.43 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
55.1%

Draw
24.2%

Génesis PN
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

19.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Platense - Génesis PN Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flores B. (G) 29. Canales C. 3. Garcia E. 24. Jhonson P. 2. Mena J. 20. Nunez Ramirez H. J. 25. Pozantes S. 10. Puerto E. 23. Salinas M. 30. Solano E. 14. Urbina E.	1. Rodriguez D. (G) 7. Miranda J. 14. Mosquera J. 8. Nieto J. 27. Paz J. 66. Perez K. 30. Riascos J. 22. Sander R. 20. Solano M. 13. Tejeda A. 2. Vargas A.
Substitutes
34. Arriola Y. 4. Bernardez R. 26. Castellanos C. 8. Castillo Y. 17. Corea E. 27. Espinoza S. 7. Flores R. 31. Morales A. 18. Orobio Rincon J. A. (G) 15. Padilla O. 16. Reyes M. 12. Welcome G.	26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 12. Balanta R. A. (G) 25. Felix B. 24. Fonseca C. 17. Nunez D. 19. Perez J. 6. Ramos J. 5. Rivera S. 75. Santos K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mosquera J. ⚽,
12', Puerto E. 🟨,
29', Solano M. 🟨,
45+6', Riascos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Riascos J. ↓, Fonseca C. ↑,
46', Nunez Ramirez H. J. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
46', Canales C. ↓, Welcome G. ↑,
59', Sander R. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
59', Jhonson P. ↓, Arriola Y. ↑,
62', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
64', Miranda J. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
70', Tejeda A. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
78', Urbina E. ↓, Castellanos C. ↑,
80', Solano E. ↓, Castillo Y. ↑,
90+6', Garcia E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11).

Platense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Génesis is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Platense is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Platense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Platense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.04.26	Platense - CD Marathón	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Choloma - Platense	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Platense - Motagua	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	2:3 ✺
12.03.26	Platense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWL
- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.04.26	Motagua - Génesis PN	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Choloma - Génesis PN	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Real España - Génesis PN	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Génesis PN - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
15.02.26	Génesis PN - Platense	2:2
07.12.25	Platense - Génesis PN	1:1
20.09.25	Génesis PN - Platense	1:1

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