Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Génesis PN		Vida

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.6
	1.63	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.56	4.11
	1.58	3.85	4.56
	1.63	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.88)	3.7 ↑ (3.64)	4.45 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Génesis PN
55.2%

Draw
24.5%

Vida
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

20.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Génesis PN's performance.

Vida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Génesis PN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Torres D. (G) 2. Pena S. 3. Gutierrez Y. 12. Casildo L. 14. Fiallos J. 27. Lasso J. 4. Discua O. 6. Contreras D. 32. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 37. Tilguath C. 21. Moreira R.	30. Bengoche A. (G) 18. Palacios D. 19. Portillo J. 35. Suazo D. 10. Canales M. 14. Espinoza S. 27. Chimilio L. 29. Barahona K. 32. Bernardez M. 9. Tellas G. 11. Villafranca J.
Substitutes
34. Alvarez A. 9. Bodden A. 5. Colon H. 11. Diamond R. 16. Guity E. 17. Oliva H. 30. Timoteo C. (G) 23. Ventura M. 65. Zelaya D.	23. Castrillo J. 20. Centeno J. 16. Funez E. 7. Garcia M. 13. Manaiza C. 31. Martinez J. 28. Valdez Oseguera J. M. (G) 15. Villalta Y. 5. Zuniga A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 9).

Recent matches Génesis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vida is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Génesis is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Génesis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Génesis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
11.02.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Génesis PN	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Génesis PN - Motagua	0:1 ✺
01.02.24	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Génesis PN - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLTT
- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
10.02.24	Vida - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	CD Marathón - Vida	7:0 ✺
01.02.24	Vida - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:4 ✺
28.01.24	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	3:0 ✺
20.01.24	Vida - Real España	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
24.09.23	Génesis PN - Vida	1:2
09.08.23	Vida - Génesis PN	2:4

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