Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Relegation - Final

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse (Choluteca)


	Lobos UPNFM		Vida

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.91	3.32	3.75
	1.93	3.45	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	3.67 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lobos UPNFM
48%

Draw
27.1%

Vida
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Guity A. (G) 20. Baptiste J. 22. Bernardez R. 27. Guillen C. 14. Gutierrez C. 11. Macias J. 8. Morazan O. (C) 9. Rochez J. 3. Rodas Andrino G. J. 24. Santos L. 16. Vasquez E.	30. Bengoche A. (G) 32. Bernardez M. 10. Canales M. 27. Chimilio L. 7. Garcia M. 18. Palacios D. 19. Portillo J. 6. Sander R. 35. Suazo D. 11. Villafranca J. 5. Zuniga A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Palacios D. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Macias J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sander R. ↓, Barahona K. ↑,
46', Garcia M. ↓, Manaiza C. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Rochez J. ⚽,
58', Bernardez M. ↓, Funez E. ↑,
60', Chimilio L. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
61', Villafranca J. 🟨,
64', Portillo J. 🟨,
64', Guillen C. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
64', Gutierrez C. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
72', Rochez J. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
77', Flores R. 🟨,
79', Barahona K. 🟨,
84', Palacios D. 🟨,
90', Rochez C. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 0, Rochez C. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2.

Recent matches Lobos UPNFM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vida is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lobos UPNFM have a series of guest games.

In this match Lobos UPNFM is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 31-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.05.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LLWWL
- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.05.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Vida - Motagua	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Olancho - Vida	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Vida	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Vida - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
01.05.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	1:0
14.03.24	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
28.01.24	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	3:0
21.10.23	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	2:1
25.08.23	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	5:1
29.04.23	Vida - Lobos UPNFM	2:1
25.02.23	Lobos UPNFM - Vida	3:0

Upcoming Matches