Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 12

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 7
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Górnik Zabrze		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.1
	1.83	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.67	4.38
	1.86	3.65	4.19	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.83	3.64	4.12	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	4.2 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
51.3%

Draw
26.3%

Stal Mielec
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	46.2%	0%

Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 11. Ismaheel T. 8. Hellebrand P. 6. Rasak D. 88. Furukawa Y. 10. Podolski L. 7. Zahovic L.	39. Madrzyk J. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 21. Matras M. 15. Senger M. 27. Jaunzems A. 8. Hinokio K. 16. Szady M. 23. Getinger K. (C) 10. Domanski M. 44. Krykun S. 17. Shkurin I.
Substitutes
18. Ambros L. 9. Bakis S. 44. Buksa A. 17. Lukoszek K. 1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 21. Sarapata D. 5. Szczesniak K. 15. Wojtuszek N. 30. Zielonka N.	9. Assayag R. 40. Bagalianis P. 96. Dadok R. 3. Esselink B. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 20. Knap K. 19. Tkacz D. 11. Wolkowicz K. 25. Wolsztynski L.
Coaches
Urban J.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Domanski M. 🟨,
26', Senger M. 🟨,
27', Hinokio K. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
27', Olkowski P. 🟨,
28', Ismaheel T. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Zahovic L. ⚽, Furukawa Y. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Wlazlo P. ⚽, Getinger K. (A),
45', Knap K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Olkowski P. ↓, Wojtuszek N. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Rasak D. ⚽, Janza E. (A),
68', Krykun S. ↓, Wolkowicz K. ↑,
68', Shkurin I. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
74', Rasak D. 🟨,
76', Ismaheel T. ↓, Ambros L. ↑,
77', Furukawa Y. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
79', Podolski L. 🟨,
85', Domanski M. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
85', Getinger K. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
90', Lukoszek K. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Hellebrand P. ⚽, Zahovic L. (A),

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 2.

Górnik Zabrze is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stal Mielec is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Górnik Zabrze is a favorite.

There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Injury) Pajnowski K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stal Mielec: Cetnar A. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Zabrze won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.10.24	Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom	0:1 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.24	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
13.09.24	Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLWL
- Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.10.24	Stal Mielec - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Cracovia - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Korona Kielce - Stal Mielec	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.09.24	Stal Mielec - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
30.08.24	Stal Mielec - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.05.24	Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec	1:1
12.11.23	Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
26.02.23	Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
13.08.22	Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec	1:3
05.02.22	Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
07.08.21	Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec	1:0
15.02.21	Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec	2:1

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