Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)


	Górnik Łęczna		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	5.3	4.35	1.5
	7.21	4.91	1.37
	6.23	4.31	1.47	Watch
	5.36	4.45	1.45	Watch
	3.87	3.72	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (3.87)	4.35 ↑ (3.72)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
16.6%

Draw
21.4%

Cracovia
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

23.7%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cracovia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Górnik Łęczna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cracovia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cracovia (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Olszak D. (G) 30. Akhmedov B. 21. Bednarczyk J. 5. Broda M. 6. David Abbott G. 10. Deja A. (C) 73. Doba S. 15. Krawczyk S. 22. Orlik K. 11. Tkacz D. 7. Traore S.	27. Ravas H. (G) 8. Aleksic M. 70. Kameri D. 11. Maigaard M. 17. Minchev M. 19. Olafsson D. 39. Perkovic M. 79. Pila D. 7. Praszelik M. 61. Traore B. 66. Wojcik O.
Substitutes
13. Kroczek D. 74. Kruk K. 20. Malamis P. 27. Masar M. 86. Rafa Santos 17. Spacil B. 47. Steszuk M. 99. Wilk K. (G)	6. Al Ammari A. 22. Biedrzycki B. 91. Golonka K. (G) 4. Henriksson G. 43. Klich M. 20. Knap K. 13. Madejski S. (G) 9. Stojilkovic F. 18. Zahiroleslam K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', Krawczyk S. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Minchev M. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Maigaard M. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Minchev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', David Abbott G. ↓, Kruk K. ↑,
46', Doba S. ↓, Spacil B. ↑,
46', Maigaard M. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
46', Minchev M. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
52', 0 - 4, Zahiroleslam K. ⚽,
54', 0 - 5, Pila D. ⚽,
60', Deja A. ↓, Malamis P. ↑,
60', Orlik K. ↓, Rafa Santos ↑,
62', Wojcik O. ↓, Henriksson G. ↑,
62', Perkovic M. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
63', Traore B. 🟨,
74', Bednarczyk J. ↓, Steszuk M. ↑,
79', Olafsson D. 🟨,
87', Praszelik M. 🟨,
89', 1 - 5, Spacil B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2.

Górnik Łęczna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cracovia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Górnik Łęczna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cracovia is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	0:4 ✺
25.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
21.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLTT
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.25	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.08.25	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
27.09.23	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	3:4
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.12.21	Cracovia - Górnik Łęczna	0:2
24.07.21	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	1:1
16.05.17	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	3:0
04.12.16	Cracovia - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
31.07.16	Górnik Łęczna - Cracovia	0:0
02.04.16	Cracovia - Górnik Łęczna	0:0

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