The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polonia Warsaw 44.9%
Draw 26.3%
Stal Rzeszów 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
21.4%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
20.8%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Rzeszów's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
13.3%
26.7%
Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Stal Rzeszów (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Stal Rzeszów (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Stal Rzeszów (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (C) 4. Szur P. 5. Hoxhallari E. 20. Brasido D. 2. Grudniewski M. 7. Vega D. 8. Wojciechowski O. 10. Bajdur M. 26. Gnaase D. 17. Dadok R. 9. Zjawinski L.
88. Koziol M. (G) 2. Warczak P. 18. Wachowiak K. 4. Synos M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 31. Thill S. (C) 21. Kadziolka S. 7. Lysiak K. 46. Lyczko S. 17. Slawinski O. 25. Wolski F.
Substitutes
77. Buksa A. 30. Cisse S. 21. Kapusta A. 44. Piotrowski B. 16. Poczobut B. 3. Salihu H. 1. Sandach A. (G) 90. Spiewak K. 19. Vasin N.
91. Darwish S. 20. Kucharski J. 77. Kukulka K. 9. Masiak K. 19. Musik M. 24. Polap D. 23. Postupalskyi I. 44. Soja M. 50. Wolff F. (G)
Coaches
Pawlak M.
Zub M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Krasovskiy V. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Wolski F. ⚽, Warczak P. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Slawinski O. ⚽, Thill S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 3, Wolski F. ⚽, Kadziolka S. (A),
54', Krasovskiy V. ↓, Soja M. ↑,
60', Bajdur M. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
60', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Szur P. ⚽, Poczobut B. (A),
65', Lyczko S. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
65', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
71', Slawinski O. 🟨,
75', Dadok R. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
75', Wolski F. ↓, Kukulka K. ↑,
75', Slawinski O. ↓, Musik M. ↑,
80', Kadziolka S. 🟨,
81', Szur P. 🟨,
88', Thill S. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Polonia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Poland
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Kuchta M. (C) 
Hoxhallari E. 
Brasido D. 
Vega D. 
Gnaase D. 
Krasovskiy V. 
Thill S. (C) 
Cisse S. 
Salihu H. 
Vasin N. 
Darwish S. 
Wolff F. (G) 
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