Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Güemes		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4.2
	1.85	3	4.25
	1.89	2.9	4.4
	1.93	3.1	4.81
	1.91	2.88	4.5
	1.88	3.13	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.76)	3 ↓ (3.08)	4.42 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
48.6%

Draw
30.6%

Brown de Adrogué
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

29.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

18.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brown de Adrogué could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Güemes - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Güemes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Güemes is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.21	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:2 ✺
25.04.21	Güemes - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2 ✺
18.04.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Güemes	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Güemes - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
04.04.21	Instituto Córdoba - Güemes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTWT
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
24.04.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
11.04.21	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
04.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLW

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