Match Info

FINLAND: Veikkausliiga

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu
World	Onefootball app


	Haka		Lahti

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.5
	1.99	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.88	3.95	3.88
	1.95	3.86	3.58	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.95	3.82	3.61	Watch
	2.02	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)	3.74 ↓ (4.1)	3.57 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
48.6%

Draw
25.1%

Lahti
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haka's form might have worsened.

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lahti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Haka - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: Haka will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lepola A. (G) 21. Bah-Traore H. 4. Ndam H. 5. Dantas 13. Sallinen O. 6. Guilherme Morais 8. Siira T. 23. Maissa Fall E. 7. Mastokangas E. 17. Sejdiu A. 27. Olusanya A.	31. Maukonen O. (G) 32. Strauss F. 12. Fox D. 4. Viitikko M. 8. Selander R. 27. Mulahalilovic B. 6. Pasanen S. 26. Pablo Andrade 15. Ivanovic L. 9. Lopez M. 22. Luquinhas
Substitutes
9. Bacanin M. 32. Heino O. (G) 11. Lanquedoc I. 20. Nikki J. 19. Reemst B. 25. Torma T. 77. Whyte O.	24. Babiker A. 77. Karkulowski T. 20. Konkkola M. 11. Koskinen O. 33. Mikhail D. (G) 21. Vainionpaa M. 10. Virta E.
Coaches
Smith A.	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Viitikko M. ↓, Vainionpaa M. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Vainionpaa M. ⚽, Pasanen S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Selander R. ↓, Karkulowski T. ↑,
61', Pasanen S. ↓, Virta E. ↑,
63', Maukonen O. ↓, Mikhail D. ↑,
64', Siira T. ↓, Reemst B. ↑,
67', Reemst B. 🟨,
70', Mastokangas E. ↓, Lanquedoc I. ↑,
71', Virta E. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Sejdiu A. ⚽,
85', Sejdiu A. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
85', Lopez M. 🟨,
89', Ndam H. 🟨,
90+7', Maissa Fall E. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Haka won 2.

Recent matches Haka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lahti is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Haka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Haka is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Haka won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Haka won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.08.24	Oulu - Haka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
21.08.24	Haka - Inter Turku	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.08.24	VPS Vaasa - Haka	3:2 ✺
11.08.24	Haka - KuPS Kuopio	2:2 ✺
04.08.24	Ekenäs - Haka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLTW
- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.08.24	Lahti - VPS Vaasa	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	IFK Mariehamn - Lahti	0:0 ✺
09.08.24	Lahti - Ekenäs	4:0 ✺
03.08.24	Lahti - HJK	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	SJK - Lahti	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.04.24	Lahti - Haka	1:1
01.10.23	Haka - Lahti	2:0
30.07.23	Haka - Lahti	1:1
11.06.23	Lahti - Haka	1:0
11.09.22	Lahti - Haka	0:1
28.05.22	Haka - Lahti	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
23.02.22	Lahti - Haka	0:2

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