Match Info

Date: 22 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Ratina Stadion (Tampere)


	Ilves		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	7	Watch
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.45	4.2	7
	1.45	4.2	6.6
	1.48	4.43	7.78
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.46	4.5	7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.71)	4.22 ↑ (3.5)	7.13 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
64.7%

Draw
22.2%

HIFK
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves's performance.

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	7.2%	5.8%

Ilves - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: Ilves will win (60 of 69 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.01% – 94.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ilves is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ilves won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 37-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilves won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.06.22	Ilves - Lahti	3:2 ✺
28.05.22	Inter Turku - Ilves	2:2 ✺
20.05.22	Honka - Ilves	0:0 ✺
15.05.22	Ilves - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	HJK - Ilves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTWL
- HIFK
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.06.22	HIFK - VPS Vaasa	1:5 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.06.22	IFK Mariehamn - HIFK	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
29.05.22	HIFK - Honka	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.22	SexyPöxyt - HIFK	0:7 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.22	HIFK - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.10.21	HIFK - Ilves	0:3
14.09.21	Ilves - HIFK	1:0
15.05.21	HIFK - Ilves	1:1
15.10.20	HIFK - Ilves	1:2
01.08.20	Ilves - HIFK	2:2
27.08.19	Ilves - HIFK	3:1
23.08.19	HIFK - Ilves	2:2

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