The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haka 28.6%
Draw 26.2%
KuPS Kuopio 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
24.5%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
26.2%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haka's performance.
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haka that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
8.3%
91.7%
Haka - KuPS Kuopio Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Haka (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
DC - KuPS (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
KuPS Kuopio will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KuPS Kuopio will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Haka (votes: 1 - 10%). KuPS (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hughes L. (G) 9. Akintunde J. 15. Almen M. 7. Da Sylva J. 3. Friberg N. (C) 4. Houston J. 8. Lindholm S. 10. Lucas Cini 18. Mommo E. 19. Okyere A. 64. Parfitt-Williams D.
1. Kreidl J. (G) 25. Antwi C. 10. Arifi D. 15. Cisse I. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 16. Miettinen S. 13. Oksanen J. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 34. Ruoppi O. 6. Savolainen S. 20. Toure M.
Substitutes
16. Bulgakov D. 21. Jalasvaara A. 12. Lepola A. (G) 17. Multanen K. 30. Purosalo V. 13. Sallinen O. 99. Sejdiu A. 2. Talo N.
24. Armah B. 12. Hakala A. (G) 17. Heinonen A. 19. Krasniqi D. 23. Lotjonen A. 4. Ricardo P. 11. Sadiku A. 30. Sahimaa L. 26. Salo R.
Coaches
Smith A.
Wiss J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Savolainen S. ⚽, Pennanen P. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Almen M. ⚽, Houston J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Antwi C. 🟨,
63', Lucas Cini 🟨,
63', Arifi D. 🟨,
65', Lucas Cini ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
65', Arifi D. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
65', Toure M. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
76', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
76', Akintunde J. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
84', Parfitt-Williams D. ↓, Bulgakov D. ↑,
84', Lindholm S. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
Penalties (0 - 3)
1, Sallinen O. (Pen),
1, Cisse I. (Pen),
2, Almen M. (Pen),
2, Heinonen A. (Pen),
3, Sejdiu A. (Pen),
3, Sadiku A. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 2.
Haka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
KuPS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, KuPS has had a series of away games.
KuPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.6:2.2).