Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	HJK		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	10	5.5	1.29
	8.75	5.25	1.28
	10	5.5	1.28	Watch
	11.61	5.69	1.3
	11.61	5.69	1.29
	10.25	5.7	1.27
	8.8	5.8	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.15 ↑ (6.32)	5.59 ↑ (4.52)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
9.4%

Draw
17%

Eintracht Frankfurt
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

20.6%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

19.9%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK's form might have worsened.

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eintracht Frankfurt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	0%	88.5%

HJK - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Maenpaa N. (G) 23. Soiri P. 15. Tenho M. (C) 6. Halme A. 2. Ollila T. 14. Peltola M. 10. Lingman L. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 17. Bande H. 7. Hostikka S. 18. Keskinen T.	1. Trapp K. (C) 3. Pacho W. 26. Dina Ebimbe J. 5. Smolcic H. 24. Buta 16. Larsson H. 15. Skhiri E. 29. Nkounkou N. 27. Gotze M. 7. Marmoush O. 8. Chaibi F.
Substitutes
5. Da Graca K. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 29. Olusanya A. 1. Ost J. (G) 19. Paananen A. 22. Raitala J. 11. Riski Ro. 8. Rogic F. 37. Tanaka A. 4. Toivio J.	30. Aaronson P. 47. Baum E. 33. Grahl J. (G) 20. Hasebe M. 23. Hauge J. P. 6. Jakic K. 36. Knauff A. 48. Nacho 38. Ramming N. (G)
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Toppmoller D.

Preview

HJK is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eintracht is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Eintracht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eintracht is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in HJK: Iliev D. (Elbow Injury) Stjopin M. (Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Loune M. (Knee Injury) Rode S. (Knock) Simoni S. (Elbow Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches HJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - HJK	6:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.10.23	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	VPS Vaasa - HJK	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Aberdeen - HJK	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.09.23	HJK - Honka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Viktoria Köln - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - HJK	6:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.10.23	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - HJK	6:0

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