Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	SAT1, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	SAT1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	SAT1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.7	2.05
	3.35	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3.25	3.74	2.1
	3.56	3.86	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2
	3.58	3.84	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
27.9%

Draw
25.6%

Borussia Dortmund
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

25%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

24.5%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	23.7%	60.5%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 12 - 16%). Borussia D will win (votes: 46 - 61.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.3% – 72.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Borussia D (votes: 26 - 68.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Eintracht (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Eintracht (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 10 - 24.4%). Borussia D (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 7. Knauff A. 16. Larsson H. 6. Hojlund O. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 11. Ebnoutalib Y.	1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
29. Amaimouni A. 5. Amenda A. 24. Buta 34. Collins N. 18. Dahoud M. 27. Gotze M. 25. Kalimuendo A. 26. Kosugi K. 23. Zetterer M. (G)	27. Adeyemi K. 23. Can E. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 48. Kaba M. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 21. Silva F.
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Beier M. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Uzun C. Y. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Anton W. 🟨,
41', Sule N. 🟨,
43', Theate A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
66', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
67', Brown N. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Nmecha F. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Ebnoutalib Y. ⚽, Kalimuendo A. (A),
75', Beier M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
76', Sule N. ↓, Can E. ↑,
77', Knauff A. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
77', Hojlund O. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
82', Kalimuendo A. 🟨,
83', Theate A. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
87', Can E. 🟨,
87', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Dahoud M. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 3, Chukwuemeka C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Borussia D has had a series of home games.

Borussia D might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Eintracht: Bahoya J. (Illness) Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury) Chaibi F. (International duty) Chandler T. (Ankle Injury) Skhiri E. (Rest)

There will not play in Borussia D: Bellingham J. (Red Card) Bensebaini R. (International duty)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury) Anton W. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:47. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 9.23% Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:4	7	13
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Barcelona - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
30.11.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
19.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties
German Bundesliga
17.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	2:0
24.08.24	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0
17.03.24	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1
29.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3
22.04.23	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0
29.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2

Upcoming Matches