Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:30	SAT1, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1
Brazil	16:30	SporTV
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	16:30	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 8
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	20:30	SAT1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	19:30	Viaplay
India	01:00	Vision+
Indonesia	02:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	23:00	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	21:30	Sport 2
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	00:30	Tapmad
Peru	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	22:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	20:30	Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
South Africa	21:30	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	20:30	SAT1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	02:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:30	TV 360
International	19:30	Onefootball


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.7	2.05
	3.35	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3.25	3.74	2.1
	3.56	3.86	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2
	3.58	3.84	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
27.9%

Draw
25.6%

Borussia Dortmund
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

25%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.5%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	23.7%	60.5%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 12 - 16%). Borussia D will win (votes: 46 - 61.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.3% – 72.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Borussia D (votes: 26 - 68.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Eintracht (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Eintracht (1.77) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 10 - 24.4%). Borussia D (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 7. Knauff A. 16. Larsson H. 6. Hojlund O. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 11. Ebnoutalib Y.	1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
29. Amaimouni A. 5. Amenda A. 24. Buta 34. Collins N. 18. Dahoud M. 27. Gotze M. 25. Kalimuendo A. 26. Kosugi K. 23. Zetterer M. (G)	27. Adeyemi K. 23. Can E. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 48. Kaba M. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 21. Silva F.
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Beier M. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Uzun C. Y. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Anton W. 🟨,
41', Sule N. 🟨,
43', Theate A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
66', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
67', Brown N. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Nmecha F. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Ebnoutalib Y. ⚽, Kalimuendo A. (A),
75', Beier M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
76', Sule N. ↓, Can E. ↑,
77', Knauff A. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
77', Hojlund O. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
82', Kalimuendo A. 🟨,
83', Theate A. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
87', Can E. 🟨,
87', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Dahoud M. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 3, Chukwuemeka C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Borussia D has had a series of home games.

Borussia D might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Eintracht: Bahoya J. (Illness) Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury) Chaibi F. (International duty) Chandler T. (Ankle Injury) Skhiri E. (Rest)

There will not play in Borussia D: Bellingham J. (Red Card) Bensebaini R. (International duty)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury) Anton W. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:47. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	10:17	-7	8

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 7.11% Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Barcelona - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
30.11.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
19.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties
German Bundesliga
17.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	2:0
24.08.24	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0
17.03.24	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1
29.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3
22.04.23	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0
29.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2

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