Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Aberdeen		HJK

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.93	3.4	3.5
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.6
	1.96	3.63	4.01
	1.93	3.54	3.82
	1.98	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.13)	3.57 ↑ (3.56)	3.75 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
48.4%

Draw
26.5%

HJK
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.4%	11.8%	8.8%

Aberdeen - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: Aberdeen will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Roos K. (G) 2. Devlin N. 6. Gartenmann S. 33. Rubezic S. 5. Jensen R. 3. MacKenzie J. 10. Clarkson L. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 7. McGrath J. 9. Miovski B. 11. Duk	1. Ost J. (G) 14. Peltola M. 4. Toivio J. 15. Tenho M. (C) 23. Soiri P. 24. Kanellopoulos G. 10. Lingman L. 22. Raitala J. 8. Rogic F. 9. Radulovic B. 18. Keskinen T.
Substitutes
8. Barron C. 30. Dadia O. 31. Doohan R. (G) 23. Duncan R. 14. Gueye P. 17. Hayes J. 27. MacDonald A. 32. Marshall F. 28. Milne J. 21. Polvara D. 19. Sokler E. 18. Williams R.	17. Bande H. 5. Da Graca K. 6. Halme A. 3. Hamalainen N. 56. Hetemaj P. 7. Hostikka S. 2. Ollila T. 29. Olusanya A. 19. Paananen A. 78. Ramula A. (G) 11. Riski Ro. 37. Tanaka A.
Coaches
Robson B.	Korkeakunnas T.

Preview

Recent matches Aberdeen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

HJK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aberdeen have a series of guest games.

Recently HJK have a series of home games.

In this match Aberdeen is a favorite.

There will not play in Aberdeen: McGarry J. (Muscle Injury) Morris S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in HJK: Iliev D. (Elbow Injury) Maenpaa N. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
30.09.23	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
27.09.23	Ross County - Aberdeen	1:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
24.09.23	Aberdeen - Ross County	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Aberdeen	2:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
16.09.23	Hearts - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWLL
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.09.23	HJK - Honka	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	SJK - HJK	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	HJK - PAOK	2:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.09.23	HJK - Inter Turku	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWT

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