Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KTP Kotka		Oulu

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.45	3.45	2.75	Watch
	2.46	3.48	2.94
	2.55	3.5	2.69	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.9
	2.41	3.54	2.79	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.83 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
39.7%

Draw
26.9%

Oulu
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

25.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

KTP Kotka - Oulu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - KTP (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koski J. (G) 14. Lehtiranta J. 17. Manga T. 4. Toivio J. (C) 21. Sumusalo M. 5. Wilson A. 37. Tanaka A. 7. Makela J. 27. Tulehmo A. 23. Larsen M. 15. Edlund C.	99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 33. Koskela M. 5. Pitkanen M. 18. Cassama A. 19. Paananen A. 37. Paananen J. 24. Dumbuya A. 10. Barrow D. 7. Ndione M. 22. Kaukua T.
Substitutes
11. Banza E. 16. Diakite M. (G) 8. Elle Essouma F. 19. Glasson M. 2. Huhtamaki U. 26. Paavola M. 18. Seck A. 9. Tarvonen A.	38. Bergsma L. 4. Jatta M. 14. Jokelainen N. 12. Pentti J. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 80. Salmensuu O. 17. Tiihonen O.
Coaches
Nyholm J.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Ndione M. ⚽,
26', Koski J. 🟥,
28', Edlund C. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
44', Barrow D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Dumbuya A. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
57', Paananen A. ↓, Tiihonen O. ↑,
62', Tanaka A. 🟨,
66', Tulehmo A. 🟨,
70', Barrow D. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
70', Kaukua T. ↓, Salmensuu O. ↑,
70', Lehtiranta J. ↓, Paavola M. ↑,
70', Tulehmo A. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Rennicks J. ⚽,
82', Sumusalo M. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
82', Makela J. ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Ndione M. ⚽,
90', Paananen J. ↓, Bergsma L. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Wilson A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0.

Oulu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Oulu has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Oulu: Eskelinen W. (Red Card) Holtta S. (Illness) Merikanto E. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.04.25	FF Jaro - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	KTP Kotka - Ilves	0:5 ✺
11.04.25	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	KTP Kotka - SJK	0:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.25	IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLTLW
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.04.25	Oulu - Inter Turku	1:4 ✺
23.04.25	SJK - Oulu	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Haka - Oulu	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.25	PonPa - Oulu	1:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
29.09.23	Oulu - KTP Kotka	2:0
22.07.23	Oulu - KTP Kotka	3:1
Finnish Cup
05.07.23	KTP Kotka - Oulu	1:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.04.23	KTP Kotka - Oulu	0:2
31.10.21	Oulu - KTP Kotka	2:1
05.07.21	Oulu - KTP Kotka	1:1
15.06.21	KTP Kotka - Oulu	1:3

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