Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 18

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	SJK		HJK

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.7	2	Watch
	3.30	3.70	2.00
	3.25	3.7	2.02	Watch
	3.48	4.12	2.07
	3.36	3.99	1.98	Watch
	3.25	4	2.02
	3.3	3.74	2.01	Watch
	3.1	3.65	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.91)	3.83 ↓ (3.84)	2.01 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK
28.6%

Draw
24.6%

HJK
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

24.6%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	3.2%	83.9%

SJK - HJK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. HJK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: HJK will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paunio R. (C) 6. Yussif S. 4. Pires K. 5. Vaisto O. 14. Murilo Henrique 31. Onuoha E. 8. Bostrom A. 23. Wilson A. 15. Mommo E. 7. Kelwin 9. Streng J.	44. Markovic M. (G) 13. Simojoki K. 6. Tikkanen V. 5. Nallo A. 14. Montano L. 10. Lingman L. 4. Ring A. (C) 8. Mentu P. 22. Moller L. 29. Haarala S. 18. Mero T.
Substitutes
42. Caio Araujo 51. Cisse A. 17. Hanninen V. 26. Moisio J. 28. Nwanege K. 47. Suso M. 27. Vellios A. 22. Vesterbacka L. 35. Viitala J. (G)	9. Borchers M. 7. Cicale A. 3. Cissokho T. 32. Gueye M. 17. Kirilov M. 1. Ost J. (G) 20. Pukki T. 28. Ylitolva M.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Rantanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Streng J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Kelwin ⚽, Mommo E. (A),
59', Mero T. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
59', Moller L. ↓, Cicale A. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Streng J. ⚽, Onuoha E. (A),
63', Montano L. 🟨,
66', 3 - 0, Murilo Henrique ⚽,
71', Lingman L. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
72', Ring A. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
79', Murilo Henrique ↓, Suso M. ↑,
79', Kelwin ↓, Vellios A. ↑,
85', Haarala S. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
85', Streng J. ↓, Caio Araujo ↑,
90', Onuoha E. ↓, Nwanege K. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 1.

Recent form of SJK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HJK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

HJK might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in SJK: Bjorkskog A. (Knee Injury) Paananen K. (Inactive)

There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D. (Injury) Toivonen E. (Injury)

There are questionable in HJK: Nallo A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SJK won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:40. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.4:2).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

HJK: 12.72%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45

Last Results with these Odds

HJK - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.07.26	FF Jaro - SJK	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	VPS Vaasa - SJK	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	SJK - TPS	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Ilves - SJK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT
- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Coleraine - HJK	0:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.07.26	HJK - TPS	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	HJK - Coleraine	5:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.07.26	HJK - VPS Vaasa	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Lahti - HJK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.04.26	HJK - SJK	3:0
Club Friendly
21.03.26	HJK - SJK	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.10.25	HJK - SJK	3:4
13.09.25	SJK - HJK	3:3
20.05.25	HJK - SJK	4:2
11.04.25	SJK - HJK	1:0
14.09.24	HJK - SJK	2:2

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