Match Info

Veikkausliiga

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KuPS Kuopio		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6	Watch
	1.31	5.25	8.75
	1.44	4.7	6.95	Watch
	1.44	4.97	7.01
	1.39	5.01	7.56	Watch
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.4	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.46	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)	4.95 ↓ (5.33)	7.4 ↓ (8.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
68%

Draw
19.2%

KTP Kotka
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

17.7%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

16.8%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KuPS Kuopio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - KTP (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KuPS Kuopio will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 4 - 80%). KTP (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (C) 23. Lotjonen A. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 22. Hamalainen N. 7. Voutilainen J. 13. Oksanen J. 10. Arifi D. 34. Ruoppi O. 20. Toure M. 19. Krasniqi D.	33. Zhuk M. (G) 14. Lehtiranta J. 17. Manga T. 4. Toivio J. (C) 2. Huhtamaki U. 5. Wilson A. 8. Elle Essouma F. 37. Tanaka A. 23. Larsen M. 9. Tarvonen A. 19. Glasson M.
Substitutes
25. Antwi C. 12. Hakala A. (G) 17. Heinonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 8. Pennanen P. 11. Sadiku A. 6. Savolainen S. 18. Tanninen E. 32. Tikkanen R.	11. Banza E. 16. Diakite M. (G) 15. Edlund C. 26. Paavola M. 29. Ruohio A. 18. Seck A. 21. Sumusalo M. 27. Tulehmo A. 77. Weckstrom L.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Nyholm J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Toure M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Toure M. ⚽, Arifi D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Elle Essouma F. ↓, Paavola M. ↑,
46', Voutilainen J. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
55', Huhtamaki U. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Ruoppi O. ⚽,
60', Hamalainen N. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
62', Paavola M. 🟨,
66', Larsen M. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
66', Glasson M. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
69', Huhtamaki U. 🟨,
72', Krasniqi D. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
72', Lotjonen A. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
73', Tarvonen A. ↓, Ruohio A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 3.

KuPS is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

KTP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KTP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, KuPS has had a series of home games.

In this match, KuPS is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in KuPS: Antwi C. (Inactive) Armah B. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in KTP: Koski J. (Red Card)

We predict that KuPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.25	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	4:1 ✺
19.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.25	KTP Kotka - Oulu	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	FF Jaro - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	KTP Kotka - Ilves	0:5 ✺
11.04.25	KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.07.23	KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka	2:0
14.04.23	KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
18.09.21	KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio	1:2
15.08.21	KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka	4:0
23.08.15	KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka	1:1
22.06.15	KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio	3:1
19.04.15	KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio	0:1

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