Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	HJK		Lahti

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	6	Watch
	1.47	4.4	6.25
	1.55	4.25	5.4	Watch
	1.56	4.37	5.98
	1.54	4.44	5.65	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.53	4.25	5.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	4.26 ↓ (4.48)	5.77 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
61.6%

Draw
22.1%

Lahti
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

21.1%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.5%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

HJK - Lahti Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Lahti will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. HJK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Markovic M. (G) 2. Lyons-Foster B. 31. Bogicevic M. 6. Tikkanen V. 14. Montano L. 10. Lingman L. (C) 8. Mentu P. 15. Kallinen J. 22. Moller L. 20. Pukki T. 7. Cicale A.	31. Maukonen O. (G) 27. Yapi R. 5. Gianini Dantas N. (C) 4. Muller J. 3. Sans R. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 14. Andersson E. 77. Sarr M. 19. Neemias 11. Martim Augusto
Substitutes
9. Borchers M. 19. Ezeh D. 12. Haapanen M. (G) 17. Kirilov M. 26. Lappalainen L. 24. Levealahti E. 18. Mero T. 1. Ost J. (G) 28. Ylitolva M.	17. Belabid A. 7. Heikkinen D. 25. Inkinen T. 28. Kabashi A. 10. Koskinen O. 2. Lehtonen J. 9. Lindholm A. 13. Ratto V. (G) 6. Vehkonen V.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Pereira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Cicale A. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Neemias 🟨,
67', Pukki T. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
67', Mentu P. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
74', Martim Augusto 🟨,
75', Martim Augusto ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
75', Moller L. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
75', Andersson E. ↓, Koskinen O. ↑,
79', Neemias ↓, Lindholm A. ↑,
84', Kirilov M. 🟨,
88', Cassubie Y. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
88', Bogicevic M. 🟨,
89', Neemias 🟨,
90+2', Cicale A. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 1.

HJK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lahti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T. (Inactive) Toivonen E. (Injury)

There are questionable in HJK: Ring A. (Inactive)

We predict that HJK will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.4:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
29.04.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Gnistan - HJK	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	HJK - Oulu	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	HJK - SJK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWWW
- FC Lahti
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Union Plaani - Lahti	2:4 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.04.26	Lahti - Oulu	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lahti - Inter Turku	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.04.26	KTP Kotka - Lahti	1:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.04.26	TPS - Lahti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
24.01.26	Lahti - HJK	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.08.24	Lahti - HJK	2:1
11.04.24	HJK - Lahti	4:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
27.02.24	Lahti - HJK	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.07.23	HJK - Lahti	0:1
07.06.23	Lahti - HJK	1:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.23	HJK - Lahti	5:2

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