Match Info

Date: 27 July 2021, Tuesday


	HJK		Malmö

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.15
	3.4	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.55	1.98
	3.48	3.58	2.14
	3.2	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.44	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	3.45 ↑ (3.38)	2.09 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
28.1%

Draw
27.1%

Malmö
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

20.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HJK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	23%	62.3%

HJK - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 9 - 14.8%). Malmö will win (votes: 38 - 62.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 23%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 50.1% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches HJK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Malmö in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Malmö will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches HJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.07.21	HJK - Haka	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Malmö - HJK	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.07.21	Oulu - HJK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Budućnost Podgorica - HJK	0:4 ✺
06.07.21	HJK - Budućnost Podgorica	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.07.21	Mjällby - Malmö	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Malmö - HJK	2:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.07.21	Degerfors - Malmö	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.21	Riga - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.07.21	Malmö - Sirius	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Malmö - HJK	2:1
Club Friendly
25.03.16	Malmö - HJK	4:0
20.11.14	Malmö - HJK	4:0

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