Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Mustapekka Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Gnistan		Oulu

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.78	3.45	2.38	Watch
	2.87	3.63	2.47
	2.82	3.59	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.4
	2.69	3.62	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
34.1%

Draw
26.6%

Oulu
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gnistan - Oulu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oulu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gnistan (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ramilson (G) 4. Marcelo Costa 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 12. Arko-Mensah E. 14. Eremenko S. 26. Eremenko R. 15. Europaeus G. 19. Hanninen V. 17. Akinyemi A. 10. Latonen J.	13. Santos M. (G) 66. Pirinen J. 5. Pitkanen M. 16. Kemppainen O. 21. Mendolin I. 11. Ghezali L. 27. Kallio E. 6. Paananen J. 22. Kaukua T. 26. Korkko J. 7. Karjalainen R. (C)
Substitutes
7. Atarah A. 20. Bjurstrom M. H. 27. Hannula O. 31. Jouhi A. 21. Lappalainen E. 32. Lindstrom N. (G) 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 50. Selenge J.	18. Cassama A. 20. Jatta K. 3. Lietsa A. 30. Makelainen J. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.
Coaches
Leppalahti J.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Eremenko S. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Kaukua T. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Korkko J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Pitkanen M. 🟨,
53', 1 - 3, Karjalainen R. ⚽,
57', Marcelo Costa ↓, Bjurstrom M. H. ↑,
57', Hanninen V. ↓, Hannula O. ↑,
69', 1 - 4, Karjalainen R. ⚽,
70', Latonen J. ↓, Jouhi A. ↑,
70', Eremenko S. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
71', Kallio E. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
81', 1 - 5, Korkko J. ⚽, Silander S. (A),
81', Korkko J. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
83', Eremenko R. 🟨,
90', Pitkanen M. ↓, Lietsa A. ↑,
90+1', Kemppainen O. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4.

In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oulu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Gnistan: 2.17% AC Oulu: 0.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40:32	8	42
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Club Friendly
28.03.26	KTP Kotka - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gnistan - PK-35 Vantaa	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Gnistan - Klubi 04	Canceled ✺
14.03.26	Gnistan - SJK	1:3 ✺
10.03.26	HJK - Gnistan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TW?LL
- AC Oulu
Club Friendly
28.03.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	2:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.03.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Oulu - HJK	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ilves - Oulu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.08.25	Gnistan - Oulu	3:2
10.05.25	Oulu - Gnistan	2:3
27.09.24	Gnistan - Oulu	1:0
18.08.24	Gnistan - Oulu	2:0
11.05.24	Oulu - Gnistan	1:1
Finnish Ykkonen
17.10.20	Gnistan - Oulu	1:2
27.06.20	Oulu - Gnistan	2:0

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