Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 29

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Munukka A. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	Ruutu+
International	14:00	OneFootball TV


	Gnistan		Oulu

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.80	3.50
	1.95	3.70	3.40
	1.91	3.45	3.40	Watch
	1.97	4.05	3.68
	1.92	4	3.54	Watch
	1.91	4.00	3.60
	1.93	3.82	3.46	Watch
	1.89	3.70	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.08)	3.82 ↑ (3.48)	3.5 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
48.8%

Draw
24.5%

Oulu
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gnistan - Oulu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Oulu will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen O. (G) 19. Milovanov B. 24. Gnanou R. 67. Obileye A. (C) 3. Ruxi 14. Eremenko S. 27. Hannula O. 31. Jouhi A. 26. Eremenko R. 23. Ylatupa S. 10. Latonen J.	62. Backman T. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 22. Kaukua T. 36. Lotvonen J. 21. Mendolin I. 25. Arsalo M. 27. Kallio E. 10. Triana C. 7. Karjalainen R. (C)
Substitutes
7. Atarah A. 2. Dahlstrom B. 95. Juricka M. (G) 40. Ojala J. 11. Perez D. 25. Rossi N. 50. Selenge J.	11. Ghezali L. 14. Jokelainen N. 40. Korhonen J. 3. Lietsa A. 30. Makelainen J. 12. Pentti J. (G) 9. Riski Ro. 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.
Coaches
Leppalahti J.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Pitkanen M. ⚽, Karjalainen R. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Mendolin I. ⚽, Karjalainen R. (A),
22', 1 - 2, Eremenko S. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Virtanen O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 3, Jouhi A. ⚽, Ylatupa S. (A),
54', Ylatupa S. 🟨,
54', Hannula O. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
60', Ylatupa S. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
71', Lotvonen J. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑,
71', Karjalainen R. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
85', Gnanou R. ↓, Selenge J. ↑,
85', 2 - 4, Ghezali L. ⚽, Riski Ro. (A),
86', Ghezali L. 🟨,
86', Kallio E. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
88', Kemppainen O. ↓, Lietsa A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 4, Jouhi A. ⚽, Ruxi (A),

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Gnistan is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Gnistan: Bashkirov E. (Knee Injury) Bjurstrom M. H. (Inactive) Europaeus G. (Yellow Cards) Marcelo Costa (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Oulu: Paananen J. (Inactive) Santos M. (Red Card) Tiihonen O. (Knee Injury).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Gnistan has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:21 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gnistan against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.7:2.2 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	AC Oulu	30	13	5	12	36:37	-1	44
5	Gnistan	30	11	10	9	44:42	2	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.10.26	HJK - Gnistan	4:0 ✺
12.10.26	VPS Vaasa - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
07.10.26	Gnistan - Inter Turku	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Gnistan - HJK	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTTW
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.10.26	Inter Turku - Oulu	1:2 ✺
12.10.26	Oulu - HJK	3:4 ✺
08.10.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2
18.07.26	Oulu - Gnistan	0:2
04.04.26	Gnistan - Oulu	1:5
25.08.25	Gnistan - Oulu	3:2
10.05.25	Oulu - Gnistan	2:3
27.09.24	Gnistan - Oulu	1:0
18.08.24	Gnistan - Oulu	2:0

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