Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Mechal		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.82	3.95
	1.98	2.86	4.34
	1.98	2.89	4.26	Watch
	1.85	2.75	4
	1.87	3.12	4.67
	1.94	2.9	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)	2.89 ↑ (2.87)	4.26 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechal
47.1%

Draw
31.5%

Sheger Ketema
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

32%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

31.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Mechal - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 16).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mechal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mechal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mechal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
26.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Mechal - Saint George	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Arba Minch - Mechal	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
27.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTTT

Mechal - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide