Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Ethiopian Medhin		Mechal

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.50	2.38
	3.30	2.70	2.40
	3.17	2.74	2.45	Watch
	2.99	2.91	2.55	Watch
	3.10	2.65	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.72)	2.7 ↑ (2.57)	2.43 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
28.7%

Draw
33.8%

Mechal
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

34.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Gugsa C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Fatuddin J. ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, Abera M. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Olisa E. ⚽,

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ethiopian Medhin has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ethiopian Medhin against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mechal	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
10	Ethiopian Insurance	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
17.10.26	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Shire Endaselassie	0:3 ✺
21.06.26	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLT
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
18.10.26	Mechal - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Hawassa City - Mechal	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Mechal - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.06.26	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0
26.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	0:1
10.06.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	2:0
11.12.24	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0

Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal