Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Ethiopian Medhin		Mechal

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.68	2.52
	3.28	2.41	2.74
	3.11	2.6	2.63	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.45
	2.82	3.03	2.61
	3.1	2.66	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.71)	2.65 ↓ (2.87)	2.58 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
30.1%

Draw
34.5%

Mechal
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mechal	38	14	15	9	44:31	13	57
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	-1	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
22.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
15.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWLL
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
22.01.26	Mechal - Saint George	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Arba Minch - Mechal	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
10.06.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	2:0
11.12.24	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0

Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide