Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Mechal		Saint George

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.4	3.15
	2.89	2.23	3.42	Watch
	2.63	2.3	3.1
	2.77	2.22	3.45
	2.71	2.37	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.34)	2.3 ↓ (2.73)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechal
33.2%

Draw
39.3%

Saint George
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

33.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

34.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mechal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mechal's form might have worsened.

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mechal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mechal - Saint George Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Fatuddin J. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Fatuddin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 8)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mechal	38	14	15	9	44:31	13	57
6	St. George	38	14	12	12	33:31	2	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.26	Arba Minch - Mechal	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Adama City - Mechal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW
- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.26	Saint George - Dire Dawa City	4:0 ✺
09.01.26	Hawassa City - Saint George	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Saint George - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Saint George	1:1 ✺
25.12.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
22.06.25	Saint George - Mechal	1:1
03.12.24	Mechal - Saint George	4:3

Mechal - Saint George: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide