Match Info
Premier League - Round 25Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday
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Hadiya Hossana |
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Saint George |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.2 |
2.62 |
2.35 |
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3.1 |
2.75 |
2.43 |
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3.16 |
2.73 |
2.48 |
 Watch |
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3.1 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
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3.13 |
2.69 |
2.44 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.81) |
2.66 ↓
(2.81) |
2.42 ↓
(2.66) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hadiya Hossana
28.8% | Draw
34% | Saint George
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-0.7%)Hadiya Hossana - Saint George Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Yabsra G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 1, Yabsra G. (Own goal),
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Abdella F. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 2.Hadiya Hossana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Saint George is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hadiya Hossana won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.5:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Hadiya Hossana won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | St. George | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 54 |
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| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 48 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hadiya Hossana - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Saint George - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 21.11.25 | Saint George - Hadiya Hossana | 0:1 | | 02.04.25 | Saint George - Hadiya Hossana | 0:0 | | 08.02.25 | Hadiya Hossana - Saint George | 1:0 | | 18.05.24 | Saint George - Hadiya Hossana | 1:1 | | 10.01.24 | Hadiya Hossana - Saint George | 0:0 | | 02.07.23 | Hadiya Hossana - Saint George | 0:2 | | 18.02.23 | Saint George - Hadiya Hossana | 1:0 |
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