Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Parc des Sports de Haguenau (Haguenau)

Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free


	Haguenau		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.62
	6.1	3.65	1.62
	5.18	3.72	1.7
	4.83	3.82	1.61	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
	5.33	3.76	1.63	Watch
	6.1	3.65	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↓ (6.22)	3.68 ↓ (4.03)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haguenau
17.6%

Draw
25.4%

Dunkerque
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

22.8%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

24.5%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haguenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haguenau than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Haguenau - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Haguenau will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bur Q.	2. Abner F.
7. Diagne S.	1. Jaouen E. (G)
2. Doucoure D.	5. Kondo G.
4. Gace I.	6. Queiros D.
9. Gouletquer A.	11. Rivera M.
10. Hintenoch N.	4. Sasso V.
11. Lawson G.	8. Sekongo A.
3. Loumouamou B.	3. Senneville C.
6. Madihi E.	10. Skytta N.
5. Salhi H.	9. Tejan K.
1. Schneider S. (G)	7. Yassine G.
Substitutes
20. Bariki M.	20. Bardeli E.
17. Bauer N.	18. Courtet G.
13. Bierry T.	19. Diop M.
14. Coulibaly I.	15. Essimi M.
15. Delamarre A.	12. Georgen A.
19. Fofana A.	16. Kone I. (G)
18. Rosenfelder M.	14. Linguet A.
12. Scherer H.	17. Nsingi N.
16. Wolf D. (G)	13. Ranschaert R.
Coaches
. Deubel C.	. Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Diagne S. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Metzger R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', Sasso V. ↓, Sangante O. ↑,
58', Linguet A. ↓, Georgen A. ↑,
58', Rivera M. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
61', Salhi H. 🟨,
62', Queiros D. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
66', Sekongo A. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
70', Hintenoch N. ↓, N'Diaye Y. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Courtet G. ⚽, Youssouf B. (A),
83', 1 - 2, Skytta N. ⚽, Courtet G. (A),
87', Fofana A. ↓, Correa M. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 3, Bammou Y. ⚽, Essimi M. (A),

Preview

Haguenau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dunkerque is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Haguenau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Dunkerque is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSR Haguenau
French National 1 - Group C
18.01.25	Haguenau - Feignies Aulnoye	4:2 ✺
11.01.25	Beauvais Oise - Haguenau	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Furiani-Agliani - Haguenau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.24	Haguenau - Boulogne	4:1 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
14.12.24	Thionville Lusitanos - Haguenau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WLWWT
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
10.01.25	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Auxerre - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
16.12.24	Dunkerque - Caen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LTTWW

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