Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, France 3, Free


	Auxerre		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.55	4	5
	1.55	4.25	5.6	Watch
	1.57	4.26	5.76
	1.54	4.01	5.33	Watch
	1.55	4	5
	1.56	4.2	5.38	Watch
	1.55	4.25	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.35)	4.13 ↑ (4)	5.3 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
60%

Draw
22.5%

Dunkerque
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21.6%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

23.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Auxerre - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Negrel T. (G) 2. Joly P. 3. Osho G. 4. Diomande S. 5. Akpa C. 7. Onaiwu A. 6. Diousse A. 8. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 11. Aye F. 9. Bair T.	1. Jaouen E. (G) 3. Youssouf B. 5. Sasso V. 4. Kondo G. 2. Georgen A. 6. Queiros D. 7. Essimi M. 8. Sekongo A. 10. Bardeli E. 11. Tejan K. 9. Courtet G.
Substitutes
16. Adiceam R. (G) 18. Danois K. 15. Hoever K. 20. Jubal 12. Keita M. 14. Mensah G. 19. Owusu E. 17. Sinayoko L. 13. Zossou A.	19. Bessile L. 12. Diop M. 17. Fernandez N. 16. Kone I. (G) 20. Nsingi N. 15. Rivera M. 14. Sangante O. 13. Senneville C. 18. Yassine G.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽,
45', Raveloson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Aye F. ↓, Zossou A. ↑,
64', Bair T. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
75', Diousse A. ↓, Danois K. ↑,
75', Raveloson R. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
85', Bardeli E. ↓, Senneville C. ↑,
85', Essimi M. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
87', Queiros D. ↓, Sangante O. ↑,
90+2', Sekongo A. 🟨,
90+2', Tejan K. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 4.

Recent matches Auxerre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dunkerque is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dunkerque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
14.12.24	Auxerre - Lens	2:2 ✺
06.12.24	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Toulouse - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Auxerre - Angers	1:0 ✺
08.11.24	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TTLWW
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
16.12.24	Dunkerque - Caen	3:1 ✺
09.12.24	Metz - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Aubervilliers - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
25.11.24	Dunkerque - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
08.11.24	Grenoble - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
29.04.24	Dunkerque - Auxerre	1:3
28.10.23	Auxerre - Dunkerque	0:1
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Dunkerque - Auxerre	2:3 penalties
French Ligue 2
30.04.22	Auxerre - Dunkerque	1:0
11.12.21	Dunkerque - Auxerre	0:2
24.04.21	Auxerre - Dunkerque	2:1
22.12.20	Dunkerque - Auxerre	0:1

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