Match Info

National League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Shay (Halifax) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Halifax Town		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	2.90
	2.05	3.30	2.95
	2.16	3.35	3.10
	2.26	3.68	3.08
	2.16	3.52	3.1	Watch
	2.19	3.60	3.00
	2.21	3.59	2.97
	2.13	3.50	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	3.51 ↑ (3.49)	3.03 (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
42.9%

Draw
26.5%

Hornchurch
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Halifax Town - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grant T. (G) 2. Bardell M. 5. Hobson S. 30. Johnson C. (C) 8. Flint W. 20. Trusty T. 3. Conte R. 10. Gilsenan Z. 9. Carty C. 11. Douglas C. 17. Tollitt B.	1. Nasta A. (G) 3. Inniss R. 12. Kizzi J. 19. Ling S. 22. Edwards F. 26. Rowe A. 4. Powell J. 8. Wraight T. (C) 25. Bracking M. 11. Sandat H. 7. Walker J.
Substitutes
18. Allen A. 27. Allen C. 7. Bray O. 16. Hill D. 4. Hugill W. 1. Johnson S. (G) 14. Morgan-Smith A.	13. Byrne R. (G) 6. Dallison T. 15. Ferguson N. 9. Hearn H. 24. Kelman B. 14. Pegrum C. 17. Yearwood A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Douglas C. ⚽, Gilsenan Z. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Powell J. ↓, Hearn H. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Tollitt B. ⚽, Douglas C. (A),
74', Gilsenan Z. ↓, Hugill W. ↑,
75', Bracking M. 🟨,
76', Rowe A. ↓, Pegrum C. ↑,
82', Walker J. ↓, Kelman B. ↑,
82', Sandat H. ↓, Yearwood A. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Trusty T. ⚽, Johnson C. (A),
87', Carty C. ↓, Morgan-Smith A. ↑,
87', Douglas C. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
90+1', Trusty T. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
90+1', Tollitt B. ↓, Allen A. ↑,
90+4', Allen C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Halifax will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	FC Halifax	15	6	3	6	26:20	6	21
13	Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	18:26	-8	21

Outrights of English National League for now

Hornchurch: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Halifax Town - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Hornchurch - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Halifax Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
01.09.26	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
English National League
28.08.26	Altrincham - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Halifax Town - Tamworth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Hornchurch - Ipswich Town U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Hornchurch - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Boston United - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Hornchurch - Woking	1:0 ✺
English National League
22.08.26	Carlisle United - Hornchurch	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWL

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