Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Hallescher		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.2	3.6	2.87
	2.2	3.6	2.95	Watch
	2.27	3.74	3.05
	2.29	3.74	3.04
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.18	3.62	2.91
	2.18	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.63)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	2.92 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hallescher
42.3%

Draw
25.8%

Arminia Bielefeld
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.5%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hallescher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hallescher's performance.

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arminia Bielefeld might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hallescher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arminia Bielefeld could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Hallescher - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hallescher will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Arminia will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hallescher: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Schulze M. (G) 42. Eitschberger J. 2. Zieleniecki S. 5. Vollert J. 22. Hug N. 17. Casar A. 10. Gayret T. 20. Deniz T. 23. Halimi B. 28. Baumann D. 33. Nietfeld J.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 25. Mizuta K. 38. Worl M. 10. Boujellab N. 39. Wintzheimer M. 9. Klos F. (C) 7. Shipnoski N.
Substitutes
11. Baumgart T. 40. Berko E. 21. Dietrich T. 16. Halangk L. 45. Hasenhuttl P. 31. Landgraf N. 1. Muller S. (G) 9. Skenderovic M. 37. Wolf M.	5. Belkahia S. 17. Biankadi M. 20. Geerkens T. 29. Koch H. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 6. Ozkan C. 34. Putaro L. 8. Schreck S. 11. Yildirim A.
Coaches
Ristic S.	Kniat M.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).

Recent matches Hallescher is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arminia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hallescher won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
28.11.23	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Hallescher - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Verl - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hallescher - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ulm 1846 - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Lübeck - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.14	Hallescher - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3
02.08.14	Arminia Bielefeld - Hallescher	1:5
27.04.13	Arminia Bielefeld - Hallescher	2:1
03.11.12	Hallescher - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2

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