Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hamburger SV		Hansa Rostock

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	6	Watch
				Watch
	1.49	4.8	5.3
	1.52	4.85	5.98
	1.4	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.7	5.75	Watch
	1.51	4.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	4.69 ↑ (4.27)	5.69 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
63.4%

Draw
20.1%

Hansa Rostock
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 22. Van der Brempt I. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 5. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Muheim M. 14. Reis L. 23. Meffert J. 8. Benes L. 18. Jatta B. 9. Glatzel R. 27. Dompe J.	1. Kolke M. (C) 22. van der Werff J. 4. Rossbach D. 21. Rossipal A. 7. Neidhart N. 26. Bachmann J. 6. Dressel D. 13. Schumacher K. 14. Ingelsson S. 9. Proger K. 18. Perea J.
Substitutes
35. Ambrosius S. 3. Heyer M. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 46. Krahn E. 12. Mickel T. (G) 20. Nemeth A. 21. Oztunali L. 10. Pherai I. 19. Raab M. (G)	17. David J. 10. Froling N. 11. Guler S. 27. Kinsombi C. 23. Korber N. (G) 29. Ruschke F. 28. Singh S. 24. Strauss J. 19. Vasiliadis S.
Coaches
Walter T.	Schwartz A.

Preview

Hamburg in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hansa Rostock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Hamburg is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hamburg to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
26.08.23	Hannover - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.08.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hamburger SV	3:4 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.08.23	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
28.07.23	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTW
- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
26.08.23	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Hansa Rostock - Hannover	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.08.23	FSV Frankfurt - Hansa Rostock	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.08.23	Elversberg - Hansa Rostock	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Hansa Rostock - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.02.23	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	0:2
24.07.22	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	0:1
15.05.22	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	2:3
12.12.21	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	3:0
Club Friendly
15.07.16	Hansa Rostock - Hamburger SV	0:0

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