Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
Germany	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1, Sportschau, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Montenegro	SportKlub 1, SportKlub
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sky Sports app


	Hamburger SV		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.2	4.5
	1.66	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.68	4.32	4.83
	1.66	4.23	4.74	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.4
	1.68	4.3	4.46	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)	4.21 ↑ (4.09)	4.54 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
56.8%

Draw
22.5%

Schalke 04
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	9.1%	4.5%

Hamburger SV - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 4. Schonlau S. (C) 8. Elfadli D. 28. Muheim M. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 6. Poreba L. 23. Meffert J. 33. Katterbach N. 20. Richter M. 27. Selke D. 11. Konigsdorffer R.	28. Heekeren J. (G) 31. Bulut T. 6. Schallenberg R. 35. Kaminski M. 5. Murkin D. J. 37. Gruger M. 7. Seguin P. 9. Sylla M. 14. Bachmann J. 8. Younes A. 19. Karaman K. (C)
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 7. Dompe J. 30. Hefti S. 18. Jatta B. 17. Karabec A. 24. Perrin L. 10. Pherai I. 19. Raab M. (G) 49. Stange O.	23. Aydin M. 30. Donkor A. 17. Gantenbein A. 24. Hamache I. 1. Hoffmann R. (G) 26. Kalas T. 39. Remmert P. 2. Sanchez F. 27. Tempelmann L.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Van Wonderen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Katterbach N. 🟨,
12', Seguin P. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Richter M. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 2 - 1, Younes A. ⚽,
59', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
59', Meffert J. ↓, Perrin L. ↑,
71', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
71', Richter M. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Karaman K. ⚽, Bachmann J. (A),
75', Poreba L. 🟨,
79', Sylla M. ↓, Aydin M. ↑,
79', Katterbach N. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
83', Gruger M. 🟨,
84', Seguin P. ↓, Donkor A. ↑,
90+3', Gruger M. ↓, Kalas T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Schalke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Thigh Injury) Reis L. (Thigh Injury) Zumberi V. (Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Antwi-Adjei C. (Muscle Injury) Hojlund E. (Muscle Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:33 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
08.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	4:2 ✺
20.10.24	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLW
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Schalke 04 - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
19.10.24	Hannover - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.01.24	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	0:2
28.07.23	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	5:3
18.12.21	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	1:1
23.07.21	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	1:3
Club Friendly
10.01.20	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	0:4
German Bundesliga
07.04.18	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	3:2
19.11.17	Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV	2:0

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