Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Nova Sport
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball app


	Hamburger SV		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7	Watch
	1.39	5.25	7.25
	1.38	5	7	Watch
	1.39	5.42	7.65
	1.4	5.16	6.93	Watch
	1.35	5	7	Watch
	1.39	5.15	7.3	Watch
	1.38	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	5.12 ↓ (5.14)	7.14 ↓ (8.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
68.3%

Draw
18.4%

Jahn Regensburg
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.3%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

17.8%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 30. Hefti S. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 23. Meffert J. 20. Richter M. 8. Elfadli D. 45. Balde F. 9. Glatzel R. 11. Konigsdorffer R.	1. Gebhardt F. (G) 14. Ziegele R. 4. Ballas F. 16. Breunig L. 7. Schonfelder O. 15. Ernst S. 8. Geipl A. (C) 33. Proger K. 10. Viet C. 27. Kother D. 30. Kuhlwetter C.
Substitutes
7. Dompe J. 3. Heyer M. 33. Katterbach N. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G) 14. Reis L. 29. Sahiti E. 27. Selke D.	25. Bauer J. 5. Bulic R. 20. Ganaus N. 3. Hein B. 9. Hottmann E. 31. Meyer M. 11. Ochojski N. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 37. Wurm L.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Enochs J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Balde F. (A),
3', Konigsdorffer R. 🟨,
14', 2 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽, Balde F. (A),
30', Schonfelder O. 🟨,
45+2', Hefti S. 🟨,
45+3', Geipl A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Balde F. 🟨,
55', Viet C. 🟨,
62', Balde F. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
62', Richter M. ↓, Reis L. ↑,
68', Ballas F. 🟨,
68', Kuhlwetter C. ↓, Ganaus N. ↑,
68', Kother D. ↓, Ochojski N. ↑,
75', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
75', Glatzel R. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Dompe J. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),
80', Geipl A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
80', Proger K. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
81', Hefti S. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
83', Sahiti E. 🟨,
88', Viet C. ↓, Bulic R. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
89', Ochojski N. 🟨,
90+3', 5 - 0, Dompe J. ⚽, Elfadli D. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4.

Hamburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Regensburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hamburg is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.24	Hamburger SV - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Hannover - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Meppen - Hamburger SV	1:7 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Hamburger SV - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Köln - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTW
- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Hertha Berlin - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Hannover - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.05.23	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:5
06.11.22	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	3:1
23.04.22	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	2:4
20.11.21	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	4:1
25.04.21	Jahn Regensburg - Hamburger SV	1:1
03.01.21	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	3:1
07.03.20	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	2:1

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